Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Lovisa Holdings Limited's (ASX:LOV) P/E

By
Simply Wall St
Published
September 03, 2020
ASX:LOV

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 73.5x Lovisa Holdings Limited (ASX:LOV) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Australia have P/E ratios under 19x and even P/E's lower than 11x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Lovisa Holdings has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the market. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Lovisa Holdings

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ASX:LOV Price Based on Past Earnings September 3rd 2020
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Lovisa Holdings.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

Lovisa Holdings' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 70%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 62% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 52% per year as estimated by the seven analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 18% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Lovisa Holdings' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Lovisa Holdings' P/E?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Lovisa Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for Lovisa Holdings that you need to be mindful of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Lovisa Holdings. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that sit on P/E's below 20x and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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