Loss-making Medical Developments International (ASX:MVP) sheds a further AU$31m, taking total shareholder losses to 46% over 1 year

By
Simply Wall St
Published
May 11, 2022
ASX:MVP
Source: Shutterstock

Passive investing in an index fund is a good way to ensure your own returns roughly match the overall market. Active investors aim to buy stocks that vastly outperform the market - but in the process, they risk under-performance. That downside risk was realized by Medical Developments International Limited (ASX:MVP) shareholders over the last year, as the share price declined 46%. That's well below the market decline of 4.7%. Even if you look out three years, the returns are still disappointing, with the share price down41% in that time. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 25% in the last 90 days.

If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Medical Developments International isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.

View our latest analysis for Medical Developments International

Medical Developments International isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one does expect good top-line growth.

In just one year Medical Developments International saw its revenue fall by 7.9%. That's not what investors generally want to see. The stock price has languished lately, falling 46% in a year. What would you expect when revenue is falling, and it doesn't make a profit? It's hard to escape the conclusion that buyers must envision either growth down the track, cost cutting, or both.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ASX:MVP Earnings and Revenue Growth May 11th 2022

We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on Medical Developments International

A Different Perspective

Medical Developments International shareholders are down 46% for the year, but the market itself is up 4.7%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 7% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Medical Developments International , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on AU exchanges.

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