What Should We Expect From carsales.com Ltd’s (ASX:CAR) Earnings In The Years Ahead?

In August 2019, carsales.com Ltd (ASX:CAR) released its latest earnings announcement, which suggested that the company experienced a substantial headwind with earnings falling by -26%. Below, I’ve laid out key numbers on how market analysts view carsales.com’s earnings growth outlook over the next few years and whether the future looks brighter. I will be looking at earnings excluding extraordinary items to exclude one-off activities to get a better understanding of the underlying drivers of earnings.

Check out our latest analysis for carsales.com

Market analysts’ prospects for this coming year seems rather muted, with earnings growing by a single digit 2.0%. The growth outlook in the following year seems much more positive with rates generating double digit 15% compared to today’s earnings, and finally hitting AU$167m by 2022.

ASX:CAR Past and Future Earnings, August 30th 2019
ASX:CAR Past and Future Earnings, August 30th 2019

Even though it’s useful to understand the growth rate each year relative to today’s figure, it may be more valuable gauging the rate at which the business is rising or falling every year, on average. The pro of this approach is that it ignores near term flucuations and accounts for the overarching direction of carsales.com’s earnings trajectory over time, which may be more relevant for long term investors. To calculate this rate, I put a line of best fit through the forecasted earnings by market analysts. The slope of this line is the rate of earnings growth, which in this case is 7.0%. This means that, we can anticipate carsales.com will grow its earnings by 7.0% every year for the next couple of years.

Next Steps:

For carsales.com, I’ve compiled three relevant factors you should further research:

  1. Financial Health: Does it have a healthy balance sheet? Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis with six simple checks on key factors like leverage and risk.
  2. Valuation: What is CAR worth today? Is the stock undervalued, even when its growth outlook is factored into its intrinsic value? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether CAR is currently mispriced by the market.
  3. Other High-Growth Alternatives: Are there other high-growth stocks you could be holding instead of CAR? Explore our interactive list of stocks with large growth potential to get an idea of what else is out there you may be missing!

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.