Stock Analysis

Dyno Nobel (ASX:DNL) Is Up 9.4% After Losses Narrow Sharply and Sales Climb – What’s Changed

  • Dyno Nobel Limited reported its full-year earnings for the period ended September 30, 2025, with sales rising to A$3.71 billion from A$3.54 billion last year and a net loss reduced to A$53.2 million from A$310.9 million.
  • The company’s significant reduction in losses alongside increased sales marks a meaningful shift in its operational and financial performance over the past year.
  • We will explore how Dyno Nobel’s sharply improved bottom line could shift its investment outlook and future earnings narrative.

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Dyno Nobel Investment Narrative Recap

Owning shares in Dyno Nobel means believing in its transition to a leaner, more profitable explosives business, with a focus on margin expansion and a streamlined portfolio. The recent sharp reduction in net loss and increased sales signal significant progress, but questions remain around whether these improvements are enough to offset the short-term pressures from operational disruptions and the complexity of separating the Fertilisers division, which remains the biggest risk to the investment case. If near-term catalysts like ongoing transformation initiatives maintain momentum, the outlook could shift, but the durability of positive earnings needs further verification.

The most relevant recent announcement in this context is the company’s consideration of a Fertilisers division sale, following earnings that highlight improvements but underscore continued financial sensitivity. While this potential divestment offers a catalyst for capital recycling and stronger focus on core businesses, execution risk and the exposure to further asset write-downs persist and should be closely monitored.

However, investors should also be aware of the financial impact that any restructuring or sale of the Fertilisers business could have, given...

Read the full narrative on Dyno Nobel (it's free!)

Dyno Nobel's narrative projects A$3.7 billion revenue and A$400.8 million earnings by 2028. This requires an 11.5% yearly revenue decline and an earnings increase of A$764.7 million from A$-363.9 million currently.

Uncover how Dyno Nobel's forecasts yield a A$3.30 fair value, a 6% downside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

ASX:DNL Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025
ASX:DNL Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025

Simply Wall St Community members offered four fair value estimates for Dyno Nobel ranging from A$3.30 to A$5.90 per share. With the company’s latest earnings showing improved results yet ongoing risks tied to facility divestments, you can explore these differences to see how expectations for future profitability compare.

Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Dyno Nobel - why the stock might be worth 6% less than the current price!

Build Your Own Dyno Nobel Narrative

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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