ASX:AMI

Stock Analysis Report

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Market Cap

AU$456.9m

Last Updated

2021/06/20 08:20 UTC

Data Sources

Company Financials +

Share Price & News

How has Aurelia Metals's share price performed over time and what events caused price changes?


Latest Share Price and Events

Stable Share Price: AMI is not significantly more volatile than the rest of Australian stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 7% a week.

Volatility Over Time: AMI's weekly volatility (7%) has been stable over the past year.


Market Performance


7 Day Return

-10.8%

AMI

-5.3%

AU Metals and Mining

0.3%

AU Market


1 Year Return

-16.9%

AMI

35.9%

AU Metals and Mining

27.8%

AU Market

Return vs Industry: AMI underperformed the Australian Metals and Mining industry which returned 35.9% over the past year.

Return vs Market: AMI underperformed the Australian Market which returned 27.8% over the past year.


Shareholder returns

AMIIndustryMarket
7 Day-10.8%-5.3%0.3%
30 Day-7.5%-2.4%4.6%
90 Day-1.3%6.1%9.0%
1 Year-14.7%-16.9%42.9%35.9%32.0%27.8%
3 Year-32.0%-36.2%67.6%44.0%34.0%18.0%
5 Year203.4%184.6%161.9%123.5%75.2%42.6%

Long-Term Price Volatility Vs. Market

How volatile is Aurelia Metals's share price compared to the market and industry in the last 5 years?


Simply Wall St News

Valuation

Is Aurelia Metals undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

9.94x

Price to Earnings (PE) ratio


Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: AMI (A$0.37) is trading above our estimate of fair value (A$0.22)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AMI is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: AMI is good value based on its PE Ratio (9.9x) compared to the Australian Metals and Mining industry average (12.2x).

PE vs Market: AMI is good value based on its PE Ratio (9.9x) compared to the Australian market (20.4x).


Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: AMI is good value based on its PEG Ratio (0.2x)


Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: AMI is good value based on its PB Ratio (1.2x) compared to the AU Metals and Mining industry average (2.5x).


Future Growth

How is Aurelia Metals forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 2 analysts?

48.2%

Forecasted annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: AMI's forecast earnings growth (48.2% per year) is above the savings rate (1.9%).

Earnings vs Market: AMI's earnings (48.2% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (13.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: AMI's revenue (9.6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (5.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: AMI's revenue (9.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: AMI's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (16.9%).


Past Performance

How has Aurelia Metals performed over the past 5 years?

32.9%

Historical annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: AMI has a large one-off loss of A$23.3M impacting its December 31 2020 financial results.

Growing Profit Margin: AMI's current net profit margins (9%) are higher than last year (8.6%).


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: AMI has become profitable over the past 5 years, growing earnings by 32.9% per year.

Accelerating Growth: AMI's earnings growth over the past year (33.2%) exceeds its 5-year average (32.9% per year).

Earnings vs Industry: AMI earnings growth over the past year (33.2%) exceeded the Metals and Mining industry 25.6%.


Return on Equity

High ROE: AMI's Return on Equity (8.5%) is considered low.


Financial Health

How is Aurelia Metals's financial position?


Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: AMI's short term assets (A$153.4M) exceed its short term liabilities (A$112.9M).

Long Term Liabilities: AMI's short term assets (A$153.4M) exceed its long term liabilities (A$137.4M).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: AMI's debt to equity ratio (10.6%) is considered satisfactory.

Reducing Debt: AMI had negative shareholder equity 5 years ago, but is now positive and has therefore improved.

Debt Coverage: AMI's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (328.8%).

Interest Coverage: AMI's interest payments on its debt are well covered by EBIT (49.5x coverage).


Balance Sheet


Dividend

What is Aurelia Metals's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

2.70%

Current Dividend Yield


Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: AMI's dividend (2.7%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the Australian market (1.98%).

High Dividend: AMI's dividend (2.7%) is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Australian market (5%).


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: AMI has been paying a dividend for less than 10 years and during this time payments have been volatile.

Growing Dividend: AMI has only been paying a dividend for 2 years, and since then payments have fallen.


Current Payout to Shareholders

Dividend Coverage: With its reasonably low payout ratio (26.9%), AMI's dividend payments are well covered by earnings.


Future Payout to Shareholders

Future Dividend Coverage: AMI's dividends in 3 years are forecast to be thoroughly covered by earnings (13% payout ratio).


Next Steps

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

1.6yrs

Average management tenure


CEO

Dan Clifford

1.58yrs

Tenure

AU$1,235,935

Compensation

Mr. Daniel Clifford, also known as Dan, has been Managing Director, Chief Executive Officer and Director at Aurelia Metals Limited since November 25, 2019. Mr. Clifford was Executive Officer of Stanmore Co...


CEO Compensation Analysis

Compensation vs Market: Dan's total compensation ($USD925.10K) is above average for companies of similar size in the Australian market ($USD691.96K).

Compensation vs Earnings: Insufficient data to compare Dan's compensation with company performance.


Leadership Team

Experienced Management: AMI's management team is not considered experienced ( 1.6 years average tenure), which suggests a new team.


Board Members

Experienced Board: AMI's board of directors are not considered experienced ( 1 years average tenure), which suggests a new board.


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.


Recent Insider Transactions

Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have been diluted in the past year, with total shares outstanding growing by 41.3%.


Top Shareholders

Company Information

Aurelia Metals Limited's company bio, employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: Aurelia Metals Limited
  • Ticker: AMI
  • Exchange: ASX
  • Founded: 2004
  • Industry: Diversified Metals and Mining
  • Sector: Materials
  • Market Cap: AU$456.854m
  • Shares outstanding: 1.23b
  • Website: https://www.aureliametals.com.au

Location

  • Aurelia Metals Limited
  • 144 Edward Street
  • Level 17
  • Brisbane
  • Queensland
  • 4000
  • Australia

Listings


Biography

Aurelia Metals Limited explores for and develops mineral properties in Australia. It primarily explores for gold, silver, lead, zinc, and copper deposits. The company owns 100% interests in the Hera projec...


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2021/06/20 08:20
End of Day Share Price2021/06/18 00:00
Earnings2020/12/31
Annual Earnings2020/06/30


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.