One Thing To Consider Before Buying Ark Mines Limited (ASX:AHK)

For Ark Mines Limited’s (ASX:AHK) shareholders, and also potential investors in the stock, understanding how the stock’s risk and return characteristics can impact your portfolio is important. Generally, an investor should consider two types of risk that impact the market value of AHK. The first type is company-specific risk, which can be diversified away by investing in other companies to reduce exposure to one particular stock. The second risk is market-wide, which arises from investing in the stock market. This risk reflects changes in economic and political factors that affects all stocks.

Not every stock is exposed to the same level of market risk. A popular measure of market risk for a stock is its beta, and the market as a whole represents a beta value of one. A stock with a beta greater than one is expected to exhibit higher volatility resulting from market-wide shocks compared to one with a beta below one.

See our latest analysis for Ark Mines

An interpretation of AHK’s beta

With a beta of 1.25, Ark Mines is a stock that tends to experience more gains than the market during a growth phase and also a bigger reduction in value compared to the market during a broad downturn. According to this value of beta, AHK can help magnify your portfolio return, especially if it is predominantly made up of low-beta stocks. If the market is going up, a higher exposure to the upside from a high-beta stock can push up your portfolio return.

ASX:AHK Income Statement Dec 28th 17
ASX:AHK Income Statement Dec 28th 17

Does AHK’s size and industry impact the expected beta?

With a market cap of A$3.44M, AHK falls within the small-cap spectrum of stocks, which are found to experience higher relative risk compared to larger companies. Furthermore, the company operates in the metals and mining industry, which has been found to have high sensitivity to market-wide shocks. As a result, we should expect higher beta for small-cap stocks in a cyclical industry compared to larger stocks in a defensive industry. This is consistent with AHK’s individual beta value we discussed above. Next, we will examine the fundamental factors which can cause cyclicality in the stock.

How AHK’s assets could affect its beta

An asset-heavy company tends to have a higher beta because the risk associated with running fixed assets during a downturn is highly expensive. I examine AHK’s ratio of fixed assets to total assets to see whether the company is highly exposed to the risk of this type of constraint. With a fixed-assets-to-total-assets ratio of greater than 30%, AHK appears to be a company that invests a large amount of capital in assets that are hard to scale down on short-notice. As a result, this aspect of AHK indicates a higher beta than a similar size company with a lower portion of fixed assets on their balance sheet. Similarly, AHK’s beta value conveys the same message.

What this means for you:

You may reap the gains of AHK’s returns in times of an economic boom. Though the business does have higher fixed cost than what is considered safe, during times of growth, consumer demand may be high enough to not warrant immediate concerns. However, during a downturn, a more defensive stock can cushion the impact of this risk. What I have not mentioned in my article here are important company-specific fundamentals such as Ark Mines’s financial health and performance track record. I urge you to complete your research by taking a look at the following:

    1. Financial Health: Is AHK’s operations financially sustainable? Balance sheets can be hard to analyze, which is why we’ve done it for you. Check out our financial health checks here.

    2. Past Track Record: Has AHK been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of AHK’s historicals for more clarity.

    3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.