Is Pacific Smiles Group Limited's (ASX:PSQ) Recent Stock Performance Influenced By Its Fundamentals In Any Way?

By
Simply Wall St
Published
August 25, 2021
ASX:PSQ
Source: Shutterstock

Pacific Smiles Group (ASX:PSQ) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 11% over the last week. Given that stock prices are usually aligned with a company's financial performance in the long-term, we decided to study its financial indicators more closely to see if they had a hand to play in the recent price move. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Pacific Smiles Group's ROE today.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

View our latest analysis for Pacific Smiles Group

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Pacific Smiles Group is:

21% = AU$13m ÷ AU$61m (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2021).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. Another way to think of that is that for every A$1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn A$0.21 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of Pacific Smiles Group's Earnings Growth And 21% ROE

To start with, Pacific Smiles Group's ROE looks acceptable. Especially when compared to the industry average of 13% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. Yet, Pacific Smiles Group has posted measly growth of 2.5% over the past five years. That's a bit unexpected from a company which has such a high rate of return. We reckon that a low growth, when returns are quite high could be the result of certain circumstances like low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Pacific Smiles Group's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 4.4% in the same period, which is not something we like to see.

past-earnings-growth
ASX:PSQ Past Earnings Growth August 26th 2021

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. What is PSQ worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether PSQ is currently mispriced by the market.

Is Pacific Smiles Group Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

While the company did pay out a portion of its dividend in the past, it currently doesn't pay a dividend. We infer that the company has been reinvesting all of its profits to grow its business.

Summary

On the whole, we do feel that Pacific Smiles Group has some positive attributes. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a high ROE and and a high reinvestment rate. We believe that there might be some outside factors that could be having a negative impact on the business. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

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