Should You Be Concerned About Yellow Brick Road Holdings Limited’s (ASX:YBR) Risks?

If you are a shareholder in Yellow Brick Road Holdings Limited’s (ASX:YBR), or are thinking about investing in the company, knowing how it contributes to the risk and reward profile of your portfolio is important. Generally, an investor should consider two types of risk that impact the market value of YBR. The first risk to think about is company-specific, which can be diversified away by investing in other companies in order to lower your exposure to one particular stock. The other type of risk, which cannot be diversified away, is market risk. Every stock in the market is exposed to this risk, which arises from macroeconomic factors such as economic growth and geo-political tussles just to name a few.

Not all stocks are expose to the same level of market risk. The most widely used metric to quantify a stock’s market risk is beta, and the market as a whole represents a beta of one. A stock with a beta greater than one is considered more sensitive to market-wide shocks compared to a stock that trades below the value of one.

Check out our latest analysis for Yellow Brick Road Holdings

What is YBR’s market risk?

Yellow Brick Road Holdings’s beta of 0.61 indicates that the stock value will be less variable compared to the whole stock market. The stock will exhibit muted movements in both the downside and upside, in response to changing economic conditions, whereas the general market may move by a lot more. Based on this beta value, YBR appears to be a stock that an investor with a high-beta portfolio would look for to reduce risk exposure to the market.

ASX:YBR Income Statement Mar 7th 18
ASX:YBR Income Statement Mar 7th 18

Does YBR’s size and industry impact the expected beta?

YBR, with its market capitalisation of AU$39.49M, is a small-cap stock, which generally have higher beta than similar companies of larger size. Moreover, YBR’s industry, diversified financial, is considered to be cyclical, which means it is more volatile than the market over the economic cycle. As a result, we should expect a high beta for the small-cap YBR but a low beta for the diversified financial industry. This is an interesting conclusion, since both YBR’s size and industry indicates the stock should have a higher beta than it currently has. A potential driver of this variance can be a fundamental factor, which we will take a look at next.

How YBR’s assets could affect its beta

During times of economic downturn, low demand may cause companies to readjust production of their goods and services. It is more difficult for companies to lower their cost, if the majority of these costs are generated by fixed assets. Therefore, this is a type of risk which is associated with higher beta. I examine YBR’s ratio of fixed assets to total assets to see whether the company is highly exposed to the risk of this type of constraint. Considering fixed assets is virtually non-existent in YBR’s operations, it has low dependency on fixed costs to generate revenue. As a result, the company may be less volatile relative to broad market movements, compared to a company of similar size but higher proportion of fixed assets. Similarly, YBR’s beta value conveys the same message.

What this means for you:

You could benefit from lower risk during times of economic decline by holding onto YBR. Its low fixed cost also means that, in terms of operating leverage, it is relatively flexible during times of economic downturns. In order to fully understand whether YBR is a good investment for you, we also need to consider important company-specific fundamentals such as Yellow Brick Road Holdings’s financial health and performance track record. I urge you to complete your research by taking a look at the following:

  1. Financial Health: Is YBR’s operations financially sustainable? Balance sheets can be hard to analyze, which is why we’ve done it for you. Check out our financial health checks here.
  2. Past Track Record: Has YBR been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of YBR’s historicals for more clarity.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.