Is Kelly Partners Group Holdings Limited (ASX:KPG) A Smart Pick For Income Investors?

Dividends play an important role in compounding returns in the long run and end up forming a sizeable part of investment returns. Kelly Partners Group Holdings Limited (ASX:KPG) has begun paying dividends recently. It now yields 5.3%. Does Kelly Partners Group Holdings tick all the boxes of a great dividend stock? Below, I’ll take you through my analysis.

See our latest analysis for Kelly Partners Group Holdings

5 questions I ask before picking a dividend stock

Whenever I am looking at a potential dividend stock investment, I always check these five metrics:

  • Is their annual yield among the top 25% of dividend payers?
  • Has its dividend been stable over the past (i.e. no missed payments or significant payout cuts)?
  • Has the amount of dividend per share grown over the past?
  • Does earnings amply cover its dividend payments?
  • Will the company be able to keep paying dividend based on the future earnings growth?
ASX:KPG Historical Dividend Yield, March 29th 2019
ASX:KPG Historical Dividend Yield, March 29th 2019

Does Kelly Partners Group Holdings pass our checks?

The company currently pays out 43% of its earnings as a dividend, according to its trailing twelve-month data, meaning the dividend is sufficiently covered by earnings. In the near future, analysts are predicting a higher payout ratio of 47% which, assuming the share price stays the same, leads to a dividend yield of around 5.8%. However, EPS is forecasted to fall to A$0.095 in the upcoming year. Therefore, although payout is expected to increase, the fall in earnings may not equate to higher dividend income.

When assessing the forecast sustainability of a dividend it is also worth considering the cash flow of the business. A business with strong cash flow can sustain a higher divided payout ratio than a company with weak cash flow.

Reliablity is an important factor for dividend stocks, particularly for income investors who want a strong track record of payment and a positive outlook for future payout. The reality is that it is too early to consider Kelly Partners Group Holdings as a dividend investment. It has only been paying out dividend for the past one year. Generally, the rule of thumb for determining whether a stock is a reliable dividend payer is that it should be consistently paying dividends for the past 10 years or more. Clearly there’s a long road ahead before we can ascertain whether KPG one as a stable dividend player.

Compared to its peers, Kelly Partners Group Holdings generates a yield of 5.3%, which is high for Professional Services stocks but still below the market’s top dividend payers.

Next Steps:

Taking all the above into account, Kelly Partners Group Holdings is a complicated pick for dividend investors given that there are a couple of positive things about it as well as negative. But if you are not exclusively a dividend investor, the stock could still be an interesting investment opportunity. Given that this is purely a dividend analysis, you should always research extensively before deciding whether or not a stock is an appropriate investment for you. I always recommend analysing the company’s fundamentals and underlying business before making an investment decision. Below, I’ve compiled three relevant factors you should further examine:

  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for KPG’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for KPG’s outlook.
  2. Valuation: What is KPG worth today? Even if the stock is a cash cow, it’s not worth an infinite price. The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether KPG is currently mispriced by the market.
  3. Dividend Rockstars: Are there better dividend payers with stronger fundamentals out there? Check out our free list of these great stocks here.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.