Those Who Purchased HRL Holdings (ASX:HRL) Shares A Year Ago Have A 42% Loss To Show For It

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While it may not be enough for some shareholders, we think it is good to see the HRL Holdings Limited (ASX:HRL) share price up 25% in a single quarter. But that doesn’t change the reality of under-performance over the last twelve months. In fact the stock is down 42% in the last year, well below the market return.

View our latest analysis for HRL Holdings

Because HRL Holdings is loss-making, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one does expect good top-line growth.

In the last year HRL Holdings saw its revenue grow by 59%. That’s well above most other pre-profit companies. The share price drop of 42% over twelve months would be considered disappointing by many, so you might argue the company is getting little credit for its impressive revenue growth. Prima facie, revenue growth like that should be a good thing, so it’s worth checking whether losses have stabilized. Our monkey brains haven’t evolved to think exponentially, so humans do tend to underestimate companies that have exponential growth.

The chart below shows how revenue and earnings have changed with time, (if you click on the chart you can see the actual values).

ASX:HRL Income Statement, May 9th 2019
ASX:HRL Income Statement, May 9th 2019

If you are thinking of buying or selling HRL Holdings stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We’d be remiss not to mention the difference between HRL Holdings’s total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. We note that HRL Holdings’s TSR, at -42% is higher than its share price return of -42%. When you consider it hasn’t been paying a dividend, this data suggests shareholders have benefitted from a spin-off, or had the opportunity to acquire attractively priced shares in a discounted capital raising.

A Different Perspective

The last twelve months weren’t great for HRL Holdings shares, which cost holders 42%, while the market was up about 7.5%. Of course the long term matters more than the short term, and even great stocks will sometimes have a poor year. Shareholders have lost 6.1% per year over the last three years, so the share price drop has become steeper, over the last year; a potential symptom of as yet unsolved challenges. Although Warren Buffett famously said he likes to ‘buy when there is blood on the streets’, he also focusses on high quality stocks with solid prospects. Most investors take the time to check the data on insider transactions. You can click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling.

We will like HRL Holdings better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on AU exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.