HRL Holdings Limited (ASX:HRL) Has Fared Decently But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead For The Stock?

By
Simply Wall St
Published
June 03, 2021
ASX:HRL
Source: Shutterstock

HRL Holdings' (ASX:HRL) stock up by 4.3% over the past three months. However, we decided to study the company's mixed-bag of fundamentals to assess what this could mean for future share prices, as stock prices tend to be aligned with a company's long-term financial performance. Specifically, we decided to study HRL Holdings' ROE in this article.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

Check out our latest analysis for HRL Holdings

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for HRL Holdings is:

2.6% = AU$693k ÷ AU$27m (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every A$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of A$0.03.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

HRL Holdings' Earnings Growth And 2.6% ROE

As you can see, HRL Holdings' ROE looks pretty weak. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 8.8%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 43% seen by HRL Holdings over the last five years is not surprising. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

So, as a next step, we compared HRL Holdings' performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 21% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
ASX:HRL Past Earnings Growth June 4th 2021

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. What is HRL worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether HRL is currently mispriced by the market.

Is HRL Holdings Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Conclusion

Overall, we have mixed feelings about HRL Holdings. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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