Stock Analysis

ASX Stocks Estimated To Be Trading At Discounts Of Up To 44.9%

The Australian stock market has faced challenges recently, including an ASX announcements outage that disrupted trading activities and affected several companies. Despite these hurdles, the search for undervalued stocks remains pertinent, as investors look for opportunities to capitalize on potential discounts amidst fluctuating market conditions.

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Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Australia

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Symal Group (ASX:SYL)A$2.72A$4.6741.7%
Superloop (ASX:SLC)A$2.70A$5.3649.6%
Smart Parking (ASX:SPZ)A$1.345A$2.2640.6%
SenSen Networks (ASX:SNS)A$0.10A$0.1947%
Ramelius Resources (ASX:RMS)A$3.65A$7.2749.8%
LGI (ASX:LGI)A$4.27A$7.7044.5%
Guzman y Gomez (ASX:GYG)A$23.23A$39.3841%
Genesis Minerals (ASX:GMD)A$6.55A$13.0249.7%
Cromwell Property Group (ASX:CMW)A$0.47A$0.8544.9%
Airtasker (ASX:ART)A$0.34A$0.6749.6%

Click here to see the full list of 36 stocks from our Undervalued ASX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Here we highlight a subset of our preferred stocks from the screener.

Cromwell Property Group (ASX:CMW)

Overview: Cromwell Property Group (ASX:CMW) is a real estate investment manager with $4.2 billion of assets under management in Australia and New Zealand, and it has a market capitalization of approximately A$1.23 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue segments comprise Co-Investments generating A$19.50 million, an Investment Portfolio contributing A$194 million, and Funds and Asset Management providing A$54.70 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 44.9%

Cromwell Property Group trades at A$0.47, significantly below its estimated fair value of A$0.85, suggesting it may be undervalued based on cash flows. Despite a forecasted earnings growth of 29.67% annually and revenue growth exceeding the Australian market average, interest payments are not well covered by earnings, and the dividend yield of 6.38% lacks coverage sustainability. Profitability is anticipated within three years with above-average market growth expectations but a low return on equity forecasted at 7%.

ASX:CMW Discounted Cash Flow as at Dec 2025
ASX:CMW Discounted Cash Flow as at Dec 2025

Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC)

Overview: Lynas Rare Earths Limited operates in the exploration, development, mining, extraction, and processing of rare earth minerals in Australia and Malaysia with a market capitalization of A$14.80 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue segment is derived entirely from its Rare Earth Operations, amounting to A$556.51 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 34.7%

Lynas Rare Earths trades at A$14.70, well below its estimated fair value of A$22.53, potentially making it undervalued based on cash flows. The company anticipates robust earnings growth of 46.4% annually, surpassing the Australian market average. However, profit margins have decreased to 1.4% from last year's 18.2%. Recent strategic collaborations with Solidec and Noveon Magnetics aim to enhance Lynas' processing capabilities and supply chain resilience in rare earth production.

ASX:LYC Discounted Cash Flow as at Dec 2025
ASX:LYC Discounted Cash Flow as at Dec 2025

Symal Group (ASX:SYL)

Overview: Symal Group Limited operates in the civil construction industry in Australia, offering construction contracting, equipment hires, material sales, recycling, and remediation services with a market cap of A$642.36 million.

Operations: The company's revenue segments include A$713.75 million from contracting services and A$183.60 million from plant and equipment.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 41.7%

Symal Group, trading at A$2.72, is significantly undervalued with an estimated fair value of A$4.67. Despite modest earnings growth forecasts of 13.5% annually, exceeding the Australian market's average, revenue growth remains subdued at 6.2% per year. Recent executive changes include the resignation of CFO Geoff Trumbull, succeeded by interim CFO David Gill to ensure stability during this transition period until a new appointment is made post-February 2026 results release.

ASX:SYL Discounted Cash Flow as at Dec 2025
ASX:SYL Discounted Cash Flow as at Dec 2025

Summing It All Up

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About ASX:SYL

Symal Group

Provides construction contracting, equipment hires, material sales, recycling, and remediation services to the civil construction industry in Australia.

Excellent balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.

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