Subdued Growth No Barrier To Gurktaler Aktiengesellschaft's (VIE:GAGS) Price
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 22.5x Gurktaler Aktiengesellschaft (VIE:GAGS) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Austria have P/E ratios under 15x and even P/E's lower than 10x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
Gurktaler certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for Gurktaler
Is There Enough Growth For Gurktaler?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Gurktaler's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 145% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 42% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
It's interesting to note that the rest of the market is similarly expected to grow by 14% over the next year, which is fairly even with the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it interesting that Gurktaler is trading at a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Nevertheless, they may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Final Word
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Gurktaler currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is only in line with the wider market forecast. When we see average earnings with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Plus, you should also learn about these 5 warning signs we've spotted with Gurktaler (including 1 which shouldn't be ignored).
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About WBAG:GAGS
Flawless balance sheet with moderate risk.
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