Andritz AG's (VIE:ANDR) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.5x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Austria, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 16x and even P/E's above 26x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Andritz has been very sluggish. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Andritz
How Is Andritz's Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Andritz would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 7.4%. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 33% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 8.6% per year as estimated by the seven analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 9.1% per year, which is not materially different.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Andritz's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Key Takeaway
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of Andritz's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the outlook. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Andritz that you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Andritz's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.