Stock Analysis

Abu Dhabi National Oil Company for Distribution PJSC (ADX:ADNOCDIST) shareholders have earned a 9.4% CAGR over the last five years

ADX:ADNOCDIST
Source: Shutterstock

The main point of investing for the long term is to make money. Furthermore, you'd generally like to see the share price rise faster than the market. But Abu Dhabi National Oil Company for Distribution PJSC (ADX:ADNOCDIST) has fallen short of that second goal, with a share price rise of 20% over five years, which is below the market return. The last year hasn't been great either, with the stock up just 3.6%.

With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

During five years of share price growth, Abu Dhabi National Oil Company for Distribution PJSC achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 4.9% per year. The EPS growth is more impressive than the yearly share price gain of 4% over the same period. So it seems the market isn't so enthusiastic about the stock these days.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-per-share-growth
ADX:ADNOCDIST Earnings Per Share Growth July 18th 2025

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Abu Dhabi National Oil Company for Distribution PJSC's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

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What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Abu Dhabi National Oil Company for Distribution PJSC the TSR over the last 5 years was 57%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

Abu Dhabi National Oil Company for Distribution PJSC shareholders gained a total return of 9.9% during the year. Unfortunately this falls short of the market return. The silver lining is that the gain was actually better than the average annual return of 9% per year over five year. This could indicate that the company is winning over new investors, as it pursues its strategy. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Abu Dhabi National Oil Company for Distribution PJSC better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Abu Dhabi National Oil Company for Distribution PJSC (at least 1 which is a bit unpleasant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Emirian exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ADX:ADNOCDIST

Abu Dhabi National Oil Company for Distribution PJSC

Abu Dhabi National Oil Company for Distribution PJSC, together with its subsidiaries, markets petroleum products, natural gas, and ancillary products in the United Arab Emirates.

Adequate balance sheet with questionable track record.

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