K92 Mining Inc (TSXV:KNT), a CADCA$78.87M small-cap, operates in the basic materials industry which is sensitive to changes in the business cycle, as it supplies materials for construction activities. Furthermore, the basic materials sector can be affected by shifts in the housing market, as many produced raw materials are components of construction projects. For example, if new housing development slows, the demand for metal products may also decrease. Basic material analysts are forecasting for the entire industry, a strong double-digit growth of 25.66% in the upcoming year , and an enormous growth of 64.14% over the next couple of years. This rate is larger than the growth rate of the Canadian stock market as a whole. Is now the right time to pick up some shares in metals and mining companies? Today, I will analyse the industry outlook, and also determine whether KNT is a laggard or leader relative to its basic materials sector peers. See our latest analysis for KNT
What’s the catalyst for KNT’s sector growth?
Altogether the basic materials sector seems to be predominantly mature in terms of its industry life cycle. Companies appear to be highly competitive and consolidation seems to be a inevitable. However, the industry is still facing many emerging trends including the reduction of waste, raw material inflation, and innovation in global supply chain management. In the past year, the industry delivered growth of over 50%, beating the Canadian market growth of 8.26%. KNT lags the pack with its sustained negative earnings over the past couple of years. The company’s outlook seems uncertain, with a lack of analyst coverage, which doesn’t boost our confidence in the stock. This lack of growth and transparency means KNT may be trading cheaper than its peers.
Is KNT and the sector relatively cheap?
The metals and mining sector’s PE is currently hovering around 11x, lower than the rest of the Canadian stock market PE of 17x. This means the industry, on average, is relatively undervalued compared to the wider market – a potential mispricing opportunity here! Though, the industry returned a similar 8.60% on equities compared to the market’s 9.62%. Since KNT’s earnings doesn’t seem to reflect its true value, its PE ratio isn’t very useful. A loose alternative to gauge KNT’s value is to assume the stock should be relatively in-line with its industry.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? KNT has been a metals and mining industry laggard in the past year. If your initial investment thesis is around the growth prospects of KNT, there are other metals and mining companies that have delivered higher growth, and perhaps trading at a discount to the industry average. Consider how KNT fits into your wider portfolio and the opportunity cost of holding onto the stock.
Are you a potential investor? If KNT has been on your watchlist for a while, now may be a good time to dig deeper into the stock. Although its growth has delivered lower growth relative to its metals and mining peers in the near term, the market may be pessimistic on the stock, leading to a potential undervaluation. Before you make a decision on the stock, I suggest you look at KNT’s future cash flows in order to assess whether the stock is trading at a reasonable price.
For a deeper dive into K92 Mining’s stock, take a look at the company’s latest free analysis report to find out more on its financial health and other fundamentals. Interested in other basic materials stocks instead? Use our free playform to see my list of over 2000 other basic materials companies trading on the market.