Those Who Purchased SH Group (Holdings) (HKG:1637) Shares A Year Ago Have A 46% Loss To Show For It

Investors can approximate the average market return by buying an index fund. While individual stocks can be big winners, plenty more fail to generate satisfactory returns. Investors in SH Group (Holdings) Limited (HKG:1637) have tasted that bitter downside in the last year, as the share price dropped 46%. That contrasts poorly with the market return of -13%. SH Group (Holdings) may have better days ahead, of course; we’ve only looked at a one year period. Unfortunately the share price momentum is still quite negative, with prices down 12% in thirty days. However, we note the price may have been impacted by the broader market, which is down 9.5% in the same time period.

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View our latest analysis for SH Group (Holdings)

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company’s share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

Unhappily, SH Group (Holdings) had to report a 39% decline in EPS over the last year. This proportional reduction in earnings per share isn’t far from the 46% decrease in the share price. Given the lower EPS we might have expected investors to lose confidence in the stock, but that doesn’t seemed to have happened. Rather, the share price has approximately tracked EPS growth.

The company’s earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

SEHK:1637 Past and Future Earnings, May 23rd 2019
SEHK:1637 Past and Future Earnings, May 23rd 2019

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on SH Group (Holdings)’s earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It’s fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of SH Group (Holdings), it has a TSR of -43% for the last year. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there’s no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

We doubt SH Group (Holdings) shareholders are happy with the loss of 43% over twelve months (even including dividends). That falls short of the market, which lost 13%. There’s no doubt that’s a disappointment, but the stock may well have fared better in a stronger market. It’s great to see a nice little 1.0% rebound in the last three months. This could just be a bounce because the selling was too aggressive, but fingers crossed it’s the start of a new trend. Importantly, we haven’t analysed SH Group (Holdings)’s dividend history. This free visual report on its dividends is a must-read if you’re thinking of buying.

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Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.