Pyne Gould Corporation Limited (NZSE:PGC): Risks You Need To Consider Before Buying

For Pyne Gould Corporation Limited’s (NZSE:PGC) shareholders, and also potential investors in the stock, understanding how the stock’s risk and return characteristics can impact your portfolio is important. There are two types of risks that affect the market value of a listed company such as PGC. The first type is company-specific risk, which can be diversified away by investing in other companies to reduce exposure to one particular stock. The second type is market risk, one that you cannot diversify away, since it arises from macroeconomic factors which directly affects all the stocks in the market.

Not all stocks are expose to the same level of market risk. The most widely used metric to quantify a stock’s market risk is beta, and the market as a whole represents a beta of one. A stock with a beta greater than one is expected to exhibit higher volatility resulting from market-wide shocks compared to one with a beta below one.

See our latest analysis for PGC

An interpretation of PGC’s beta

Pyne Gould’s beta of 0.46 indicates that the stock value will be less variable compared to the whole stock market. The stock will exhibit muted movements in both the downside and upside, in response to changing economic conditions, whereas the general market may move by a lot more. PGC’s beta implies it may be a stock that investors with high-beta portfolios might find relevant if they wanted to reduce their exposure to market risk, especially during times of downturns.

NZSE:PGC Income Statement Nov 17th 17
NZSE:PGC Income Statement Nov 17th 17

How does PGC’s size and industry impact its risk?

A market capitalisation of NZD NZ$45.64M puts PGC in the category of small-cap stocks, which tends to possess higher beta than larger companies. Moreover, PGC’s industry, capital markets, is considered to be cyclical, which means it is more volatile than the market over the economic cycle. Therefore, investors may expect high beta associated with small companies, as well as those operating in the capital markets industry, relative to those more well-established firms in a more defensive industry. It seems as though there is an inconsistency in risks portrayed by PGC’s size and industry relative to its actual beta value. There may be a more fundamental driver which can explain this inconsistency, which we will examine below.

Can PGC’s asset-composition point to a higher beta?

An asset-heavy company tends to have a higher beta because the risk associated with running fixed assets during a downturn is highly expensive. I test PGC’s ratio of fixed assets to total assets in order to determine how high the risk is associated with this type of constraint. Considering fixed assets account for less than a third of the company’s overall assets, PGC seems to have a smaller dependency on fixed costs to generate revenue. As a result, the company may be less volatile relative to broad market movements, compared to a company of similar size but higher proportion of fixed assets. This is consistent with is current beta value which also indicates low volatility.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? You may reap the benefit of muted movements during times of economic decline by holding onto PGC. Its low fixed cost also means that, in terms of operating leverage, its costs are relatively malleable to preserve margins. I recommend analysing the stock in terms of your current portfolio composition before increasing your exposure to the stock.

Are you a potential investor? Before you buy PGC, you should look at the stock in conjunction with their current portfolio holdings. PGC may be a great cushion during times of economic downturns due to its low beta and low fixed cost. However, in addition to this, I recommend taking into account its fundamentals as well before jumping into the investment.

Beta is one aspect of your portfolio construction to consider when holding or entering into a stock. But it is certainly not the only factor. Take a look at our most recent infographic report on Pyne Gould for a more in-depth analysis of the stock to help you make a well-informed investment decision. But if you are not interested in Pyne Gould anymore, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.