Is HNI (NYSE:HNI) A Risky Investment?

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway’s Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says ‘The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.’ So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that HNI Corporation (NYSE:HNI) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can’t fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company’s debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for HNI

What Is HNI’s Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that HNI had US$183.5m of debt in June 2020, down from US$286.5m, one year before. However, it also had US$28.5m in cash, and so its net debt is US$155.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:HNI Debt to Equity History September 11th 2020

A Look At HNI’s Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that HNI had liabilities of US$361.6m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$400.7m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$28.5m in cash and US$203.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$530.1m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since HNI has a market capitalization of US$1.24b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it’s clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

In order to size up a company’s debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

HNI has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.72. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 19.8 times over. So we’re pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Also good is that HNI grew its EBIT at 11% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if HNI can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you’re focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, HNI generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 90% of its EBIT, more than we’d expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Our View

Happily, HNI’s impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And that’s just the beginning of the good news since its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is also very heartening. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like HNI is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we’ve spotted 1 warning sign for HNI you should know about.

If you’re interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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