Easy Come, Easy Go: How Aumann (FRA:AAG) Shareholders Got Unlucky And Saw 73% Of Their Cash Evaporate

As every investor would know, you don’t hit a homerun every time you swing. But it would be foolish to simply accept every extremely large loss as an inevitable part of the game. So spare a thought for the long term shareholders of Aumann AG (FRA:AAG); the share price is down a whopping 73% in the last twelve months. A loss like this is a stark reminder that portfolio diversification is important. Aumann hasn’t been listed for long, so although we’re wary of recent listings that perform poorly, it may still prove itself with time. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 54% in the last 90 days.

View our latest analysis for Aumann

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During the unfortunate twelve months during which the Aumann share price fell, it actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 25%. It’s quite possible that growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past. The divergence between the EPS and the share price is quite notable, during the year. So it’s well worth checking out some other metrics, too.

With a low yield of 1.3% we doubt that the dividend influences the share price much. Aumann managed to grow revenue over the last year, which is usually a real positive. Since we can’t easily explain the share price movement based on these metrics, it might be worth considering how market sentiment has changed towards the stock.

DB:AAG Income Statement, July 24th 2019
DB:AAG Income Statement, July 24th 2019

It is of course excellent to see how Aumann has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

A Different Perspective

We doubt Aumann shareholders are happy with the loss of 73% over twelve months (even including dividends). That falls short of the market, which lost 4.9%. That’s disappointing, but it’s worth keeping in mind that the market-wide selling wouldn’t have helped. With the stock down 54% over the last three months, the market doesn’t seem to believe that the company has solved all its problems. Basically, most investors should be wary of buying into a poor-performing stock, unless the business itself has clearly improved. Before forming an opinion on Aumann you might want to consider these 3 valuation metrics.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on DE exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.