Does The Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:MDGL) Share Price Tend To Follow The Market?

If you own shares in Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:MDGL) then it’s worth thinking about how it contributes to the volatility of your portfolio, overall. In finance, Beta is a measure of volatility. Volatility is considered to be a measure of risk in modern finance theory. Investors may think of volatility as falling into two main categories. First, we have company specific volatility, which is the price gyrations of an individual stock. Holding at least 8 stocks can reduce this kind of risk across a portfolio. The other type, which cannot be diversified away, is the volatility of the entire market. Every stock in the market is exposed to this volatility, which is linked to the fact that stocks prices are correlated in an efficient market.

Some stocks see their prices move in concert with the market. Others tend towards stronger, gentler or unrelated price movements. Some investors use beta as a measure of how much a certain stock is impacted by market risk (volatility). While we should keep in mind that Warren Buffett has cautioned that ‘Volatility is far from synonymous with risk’, beta is still a useful factor to consider. To make good use of it you must first know that the beta of the overall market is one. A stock with a beta below one is either less volatile than the market, or more volatile but not corellated with the overall market. In comparison a stock with a beta of over one tends to be move in a similar direction to the market in the long term, but with greater changes in price.

View our latest analysis for Madrigal Pharmaceuticals

What we can learn from MDGL’s beta value

Given that it has a beta of 1.68, we can surmise that the Madrigal Pharmaceuticals share price has been fairly sensitive to market volatility (over the last 5 years). Based on this history, investors should be aware that Madrigal Pharmaceuticals are likely to rise strongly in times of greed, but sell off in times of fear. Beta is worth considering, but it’s also important to consider whether Madrigal Pharmaceuticals is growing earnings and revenue. You can take a look for yourself, below.

NasdaqCM:MDGL Income Statement June 1st 2020
NasdaqCM:MDGL Income Statement June 1st 2020

How does MDGL’s size impact its beta?

Madrigal Pharmaceuticals is a small cap stock with a market capitalisation of US$1.8b. Most companies this size are actively traded. It has a relatively high beta, which is not unusual among small-cap stocks. Because it takes less capital to move the share price of a smaller company, actively traded small-cap stocks often have a higher beta that a similar large-cap stock.

What this means for you:

Beta only tells us that the Madrigal Pharmaceuticals share price is sensitive to broader market movements. This could indicate that it is a high growth company, or is heavily influenced by sentiment because it is speculative. Alternatively, it could have operating leverage in its business model. Ultimately, beta is an interesting metric, but there’s plenty more to learn. In order to fully understand whether MDGL is a good investment for you, we also need to consider important company-specific fundamentals such as Madrigal Pharmaceuticals’s financial health and performance track record. I highly recommend you dive deeper by considering the following:

  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for MDGL’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for MDGL’s outlook.
  2. Past Track Record: Has MDGL been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of MDGL’s historicals for more clarity.
  3. Other Interesting Stocks: It’s worth checking to see how MDGL measures up against other companies on valuation. You could start with this free list of prospective options.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.