Does Market Volatility Impact Ashford Hospitality Trust, Inc.’s (NYSE:AHT) Share Price?

If you’re interested in Ashford Hospitality Trust, Inc. (NYSE:AHT), then you might want to consider its beta (a measure of share price volatility) in order to understand how the stock could impact your portfolio. Modern finance theory considers volatility to be a measure of risk, and there are two main types of price volatility. The first type is company specific volatility. Investors use diversification across uncorrelated stocks to reduce this kind of price volatility across the portfolio. The second sort is caused by the natural volatility of markets, overall. For example, certain macroeconomic events will impact (virtually) all stocks on the market.

Some stocks are more sensitive to general market forces than others. Beta is a widely used metric to measure a stock’s exposure to market risk (volatility). Before we go on, it’s worth noting that Warren Buffett pointed out in his 2014 letter to shareholders that ‘volatility is far from synonymous with risk.’ Having said that, beta can still be rather useful. The first thing to understand about beta is that the beta of the overall market is one. Any stock with a beta of greater than one is considered more volatile than the market, while those with a beta below one are either less volatile or poorly correlated with the market.

See our latest analysis for Ashford Hospitality Trust

What we can learn from AHT’s beta value

Given that it has a beta of 1.37, we can surmise that the Ashford Hospitality Trust share price has been fairly sensitive to market volatility (over the last 5 years). Based on this history, investors should be aware that Ashford Hospitality Trust are likely to rise strongly in times of greed, but sell off in times of fear. Beta is worth considering, but it’s also important to consider whether Ashford Hospitality Trust is growing earnings and revenue. You can take a look for yourself, below.

NYSE:AHT Income Statement, September 14th 2019
NYSE:AHT Income Statement, September 14th 2019

How does AHT’s size impact its beta?

Ashford Hospitality Trust is a rather small company. It has a market capitalisation of US$400m, which means it is probably under the radar of most investors. It has a relatively high beta, suggesting it is fairly actively traded for a company of its size. Because it takes less capital to move the share price of a small company like this, when a stock this size is actively traded it is quite often more sensitive to market volatility than similar large companies.

What this means for you:

Since Ashford Hospitality Trust has a reasonably high beta, it’s worth considering why it is so heavily influenced by broader market sentiment. For example, it might be a high growth stock or have a lot of operating leverage in its business model. In order to fully understand whether AHT is a good investment for you, we also need to consider important company-specific fundamentals such as Ashford Hospitality Trust’s financial health and performance track record. I urge you to continue your research by taking a look at the following:

  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for AHT’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for AHT’s outlook.
  2. Past Track Record: Has AHT been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of AHT’s historicals for more clarity.
  3. Other Interesting Stocks: It’s worth checking to see how AHT measures up against other companies on valuation. You could start with this free list of prospective options.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.