Stock Analysis

ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP) Price Moves 11% Up Last Week Amid Oil Sector Gains

NYSE:COP
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ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP) saw a 10.9% price increase last week, coinciding with the company's unsuccessful bid to eliminate supermajority voting provisions at its annual stockholder meeting. While the broader market experienced substantial fluctuations due to geopolitical tensions that caused oil prices to surge, ConocoPhillips benefited along with other oil majors. The market's 1.6% upward movement over the same period underscores this positive sentiment within the oil sector. Despite the stock market volatility, influenced by the heightened Middle East conflict, ConocoPhillips managed to gain, reflecting market trends favoring energy stocks amidst climbing oil prices.

We've identified 1 risk with ConocoPhillips and understanding the impact should be part of your investment process.

NYSE:COP Revenue & Expenses Breakdown as at Jun 2025
NYSE:COP Revenue & Expenses Breakdown as at Jun 2025

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The recent news surrounding ConocoPhillips's unsuccessful effort to remove supermajority voting provisions could have implications for its future governance and strategic agility. Such changes can influence shareholder sentiment and potentially impact long-term decision-making processes that the company undertakes. Over the past five years, ConocoPhillips shares have delivered a total return of 156.31%, demonstrating robust performance despite shorter-term fluctuations. However, in the past year, ConocoPhillips underperformed the US Oil and Gas industry, which returned 0.8% over the same timeframe.

The company's ambitious plans, such as the Willow and Port Arthur projects, align with its narrative to enhance operational efficiency and shareholder returns but face the challenge of geopolitical tensions and commodity price volatility. These factors could pressure the company's revenue and earnings forecasts, adding complexity to its growth trajectory. Analysts forecast earnings to rise to US$10.5 billion by May 2028, hinging on successful project executions and market stability. The share price movements align with analyst projections, with a 22.22% discount to the consensus price target of US$117.47, indicating potential upside if forecasts are met.

Our valuation report here indicates ConocoPhillips may be undervalued.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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