Allianz SE’s (ETR:ALV) Stock Been Rising: Are Strong Financials Guiding The Market?

Allianz’s (ETR:ALV) stock is up by 2.9% over the past three months. Given that the market rewards strong financials in the long-term, we wonder if that is the case in this instance. Specifically, we decided to study Allianz’s ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company’s management is utilizing the company’s capital. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

See our latest analysis for Allianz

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders’ Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Allianz is:

9.4% = €7.1b ÷ €75b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2020).

The ‘return’ is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every €1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn €0.09 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company’s future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or “retains” for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Allianz’s Earnings Growth And 9.4% ROE

At first glance, Allianz seems to have a decent ROE. Even when compared to the industry average of 8.0% the company’s ROE looks quite decent. Despite the moderate return on equity, Allianz has posted a net income growth of 3.1% over the past five years. So, there could be some other factors at play that could be impacting the company’s growth. For instance, the company pays out a huge portion of its earnings as dividends, or is faced with competitive pressures.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Allianz’s growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 1.3% in the same period, which is great to see.

past-earnings-growth
XTRA:ALV Past Earnings Growth September 11th 2020

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company’s expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. What is ALV worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether ALV is currently mispriced by the market.

Is Allianz Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

The high three-year median payout ratio of 51% (that is, the company retains only 49% of its income) over the past three years for Allianz suggests that the company’s earnings growth was lower as a result of paying out a majority of its earnings.

In addition, Allianz has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth. Upon studying the latest analysts’ consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 51% of its profits over the next three years. However, Allianz’s ROE is predicted to rise to 11% despite there being no anticipated change in its payout ratio.

Summary

On the whole, we feel that Allianz’s performance has been quite good. In particular, its high ROE is quite noteworthy and also the probable explanation behind its considerable earnings growth. Yet, the company is retaining a small portion of its profits. Which means that the company has been able to grow its earnings in spite of it, so that’s not too bad. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company’s fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst’s forecasts page for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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