Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:600809) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 98% Above Its Share Price
Sep 27
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Chinese (SSE) Beverage Industry Analysis
UpdatedSep 27, 2024
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies37
- 7D19.3%
- 3M1.2%
- 1Y-19.9%
- YTD-10.8%
In the last week, the Beverage industry is up 19%, with Kweichow Moutai up 29%. Meanwhile, Gansu Mogao Industrial DevelopmentLtd actually underperformed within the industry, shrinking 12% in the last week. In the past year, the industry is down 20%. As for the next few years, earnings are expected to grow by 12% per annum.
Industry Valuation and Performance
Has the Chinese Beverage Industry valuation changed over the past few years?
| Date | Market Cap | Revenue | Earnings | PE | Absolute PE | PS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 27 Sep 2024 | CN¥3.5t | CN¥504.3b | CN¥174.6b | 23.3x | 20.3x | 7x |
| Sun, 25 Aug 2024 | CN¥3.3t | CN¥499.5b | CN¥172.7b | 21.3x | 19x | 6.6x |
| Tue, 23 Jul 2024 | CN¥3.5t | CN¥493.3b | CN¥170.1b | 22.4x | 20.8x | 7.2x |
| Thu, 20 Jun 2024 | CN¥3.6t | CN¥493.3b | CN¥170.1b | 24.7x | 21.4x | 7.4x |
| Sat, 18 May 2024 | CN¥4.2t | CN¥493.3b | CN¥169.2b | 28.3x | 24.8x | 8.5x |
| Mon, 15 Apr 2024 | CN¥3.9t | CN¥466.9b | CN¥158.4b | 29x | 24.6x | 8.3x |
| Wed, 13 Mar 2024 | CN¥4.1t | CN¥458.4b | CN¥154.6b | 30.5x | 26.8x | 9.1x |
| Fri, 09 Feb 2024 | CN¥3.9t | CN¥457.8b | CN¥154.6b | 28.6x | 25.2x | 8.5x |
| Sun, 07 Jan 2024 | CN¥3.9t | CN¥457.8b | CN¥154.7b | 31.1x | 25x | 8.4x |
| Tue, 05 Dec 2023 | CN¥4.2t | CN¥458.2b | CN¥154.7b | 31.3x | 27.1x | 9.1x |
| Thu, 02 Nov 2023 | CN¥4.4t | CN¥452.4b | CN¥154.2b | 31.4x | 28.5x | 9.7x |
| Sat, 30 Sep 2023 | CN¥4.4t | CN¥439.4b | CN¥148.8b | 32.8x | 29.6x | 10x |
| Mon, 28 Aug 2023 | CN¥4.5t | CN¥435.1b | CN¥147.3b | 33.3x | 30.5x | 10.3x |
| Wed, 26 Jul 2023 | CN¥4.6t | CN¥424.9b | CN¥143.3b | 35.5x | 32x | 10.8x |
| Fri, 23 Jun 2023 | CN¥4.4t | CN¥424.9b | CN¥143.3b | 35.6x | 30.5x | 10.3x |
| Sun, 21 May 2023 | CN¥4.4t | CN¥425.0b | CN¥143.3b | 36.3x | 30.6x | 10.3x |
| Tue, 18 Apr 2023 | CN¥4.6t | CN¥401.4b | CN¥133.1b | 41.2x | 34.5x | 11.4x |
| Thu, 16 Mar 2023 | CN¥4.7t | CN¥396.0b | CN¥130.3b | 43.4x | 36.2x | 11.9x |
| Sat, 11 Feb 2023 | CN¥4.9t | CN¥396.1b | CN¥130.3b | 44.5x | 37.7x | 12.4x |
| Mon, 09 Jan 2023 | CN¥4.8t | CN¥396.1b | CN¥130.3b | 39.4x | 36.6x | 12x |
| Wed, 07 Dec 2022 | CN¥4.4t | CN¥396.0b | CN¥130.3b | 38.2x | 34.1x | 11.2x |
| Fri, 04 Nov 2022 | CN¥3.8t | CN¥395.9b | CN¥130.3b | 34.2x | 29.5x | 9.7x |
| Sun, 02 Oct 2022 | CN¥4.7t | CN¥383.3b | CN¥125.1b | 38.5x | 37.2x | 12.1x |
| Tue, 30 Aug 2022 | CN¥4.6t | CN¥381.4b | CN¥124.2b | 41x | 37.4x | 12.2x |
| Thu, 28 Jul 2022 | CN¥4.8t | CN¥376.4b | CN¥122.3b | 43.3x | 39.5x | 12.8x |
| Sat, 25 Jun 2022 | CN¥5.0t | CN¥376.4b | CN¥122.3b | 45.8x | 40.8x | 13.3x |
| Mon, 23 May 2022 | CN¥4.5t | CN¥376.4b | CN¥122.3b | 40.6x | 36.5x | 11.8x |
| Wed, 20 Apr 2022 | CN¥4.4t | CN¥353.7b | CN¥113.1b | 42.9x | 38.9x | 12.5x |
| Fri, 18 Mar 2022 | CN¥4.4t | CN¥349.5b | CN¥111.0b | 43.8x | 39.5x | 12.5x |
| Sun, 13 Feb 2022 | CN¥4.8t | CN¥346.3b | CN¥110.5b | 49.5x | 43.2x | 13.8x |
| Tue, 11 Jan 2022 | CN¥5.1t | CN¥346.3b | CN¥110.4b | 56.1x | 46.1x | 14.7x |
| Thu, 09 Dec 2021 | CN¥5.5t | CN¥346.3b | CN¥110.4b | 57.4x | 49.9x | 15.9x |
| Sat, 06 Nov 2021 | CN¥4.9t | CN¥346.3b | CN¥110.4b | 54.1x | 44.8x | 14.3x |
| Mon, 04 Oct 2021 | CN¥5.0t | CN¥335.9b | CN¥106.8b | 58.3x | 46.4x | 14.8x |
Price to Earnings Ratio
46.4x
Current Industry PE
- Investors are pessimistic on the Chinese Beverage industry, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates will be lower than they have historically.
- The industry is trading at a PE ratio of 20.3x which is lower than its 3-year average PE of 33.0x.
- The 3-year average PS ratio of 10.9x is higher than the industry's current PS ratio of 7.0x.
Past Earnings Growth
- The earnings for companies in the Beverage industry have grown 18% per year over the last three years.
- Revenues for these companies have grown 15% per year.
- This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.
Industry Trends
Which industries have driven the changes within the Chinese Consumer Staples industry?
| CN Market | 9.62% | |
| Consumer Staples | 15.32% | |
| Beverage | 19.28% | |
| Distillers and Wine Makers | 20.03% | |
| Brewers | 10.49% | |
| Soft Drinks | 4.00% | |
Industry PE
- Investors are most optimistic about the Soft Drinks industry even though it's trading below its 3-year average PE ratio of 47.4x.
- Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 23.1%, which is lower than the prior year's growth of 48.4% per year.
- Investors are most pessimistic about the Distillers and Wine Makers industry, which is trading below its 3-year average of 32.7x.
Forecasted Growth
- Analysts are most optimistic on the Soft Drinks industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 23% over the next 5 years.
- However this is lower than its past earnings growth rate of 48% per year.
- In contrast, the Distillers and Wine Makers industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 12% per year over the next few years.
Top Stock Gainers and Losers
Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?
| Company | Last Price | 7D | 1Y | Valuation | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 600519 Kweichow Moutai | CN¥1.63k | 28.9% +CN¥458.9b | -9.4% | PE25.4x | |
| 000858 Wuliangye YibinLtd | CN¥147.74 | 34.0% +CN¥145.4b | -5.4% | PE17.8x | |
| 600809 Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine FactoryLtd | CN¥198.99 | 29.0% +CN¥54.6b | -16.9% | PE20.1x | |
| 000568 Luzhou LaojiaoLtd | CN¥136.09 | 34.3% +CN¥51.1b | -37.2% | PE14.1x | |
| 002304 Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery | CN¥91.13 | 23.6% +CN¥26.2b | -29.6% | PE13.6x |