Warrior Met Coal, Inc.

NYSE:HCC Stock Report

Market Cap: US$4.1b

Warrior Met Coal Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Warrior Met Coal is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 89.7% and 20.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 60.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 10.3% in 3 years.

Key information

89.7%

Earnings growth rate

60.72%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth17.8%
Revenue growth rate20.8%
Future return on equity10.29%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated06 Nov 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Weak Statutory Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC)

Nov 12
Weak Statutory Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC)

Revenues Tell The Story For Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (NYSE:HCC) As Its Stock Soars 28%

Nov 09
Revenues Tell The Story For Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (NYSE:HCC) As Its Stock Soars 28%

Warrior Met Coal: An Impressive Q3 2025 And Strong Near-Term Sales Growth (Upgrade)

Nov 06

Investors Could Be Concerned With Warrior Met Coal's (NYSE:HCC) Returns On Capital

Oct 27
Investors Could Be Concerned With Warrior Met Coal's (NYSE:HCC) Returns On Capital

Further Upside For Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (NYSE:HCC) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 26% Bounce

Jul 22
Further Upside For Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (NYSE:HCC) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 26% Bounce

Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends

Jul 07
Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends

Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.08

May 01
Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.08

Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Apr 24
Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Be Wary Of Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) And Its Returns On Capital

Apr 03
Be Wary Of Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) And Its Returns On Capital

Warrior Met Coal: Low-Cost Producer With Upside

Mar 31

Fewer Investors Than Expected Jumping On Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (NYSE:HCC)

Mar 09
Fewer Investors Than Expected Jumping On Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (NYSE:HCC)

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Feb 15
Warrior Met Coal, Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Warrior Met Coal: Will Blue Creek Mine, A Large CAPEX Investment, Be Profitable?

Feb 13

Is Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Using Too Much Debt?

Jan 18
Is Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Using Too Much Debt?

There Is A Reason Warrior Met Coal, Inc.'s (NYSE:HCC) Price Is Undemanding

Dec 07
There Is A Reason Warrior Met Coal, Inc.'s (NYSE:HCC) Price Is Undemanding

Warrior Met Coal's (NYSE:HCC) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business

Nov 19
Warrior Met Coal's (NYSE:HCC) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business

Is Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (NYSE:HCC) Worth US$60.0 Based On Its Intrinsic Value?

Oct 25
Is Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (NYSE:HCC) Worth US$60.0 Based On Its Intrinsic Value?

Does Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Oct 09
Does Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
User avatar

Blue Creek's Promise Battles Analyst Skepticism Amid Global Steelmaking Uncertainties

Strategic expansions and operational enhancements point towards significant revenue and cash flow growth through increased production and sales volumes.

Warrior Met Coal: Blue Creek Should Substantially Boost Earnings And Cash Flows

Aug 28

There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Warrior Met Coal's (NYSE:HCC) Returns On Capital

Aug 18
There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Warrior Met Coal's (NYSE:HCC) Returns On Capital

Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.08

Aug 02
Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.08

The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Warrior Met Coal, Inc.'s (NYSE:HCC) Earnings Yet

Jul 29
The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Warrior Met Coal, Inc.'s (NYSE:HCC) Earnings Yet

Warrior Met Coal: Un-Caving A Pure Met Coal Play

Jun 12

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (NYSE:HCC)

Jun 05
Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (NYSE:HCC)

Warrior Met Coal: Not A Buy, But One For The Watchlist

Jun 03

Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

May 21
Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Warrior Met Coal, Inc.'s (NYSE:HCC) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 27%

Apr 17
Warrior Met Coal, Inc.'s (NYSE:HCC) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 27%

Returns On Capital At Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Paint A Concerning Picture

Apr 15
Returns On Capital At Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Paint A Concerning Picture

Buy The Dip In Warrior Met Coal

Mar 23

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:HCC - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20272,0434093435946
12/31/20261,8753062965417
12/31/20251,29653-2142446
9/30/20251,22435-159207N/A
6/30/20251,22440-225165N/A
3/31/20251,324105-152274N/A
12/31/20241,525251-90367N/A
9/30/20241,59337851558N/A
6/30/20241,689422137635N/A
3/31/20241,67043389612N/A
12/31/20231,677479209701N/A
9/30/20231,656449255651N/A
6/30/20231,623462429760N/A
3/31/20231,870677698965N/A
12/31/20221,739641633842N/A
9/30/20221,810680674822N/A
6/30/20221,622620521637N/A
3/31/20221,224318318376N/A
12/31/20211,059151294352N/A
9/30/2021856-21158207N/A
6/30/2021834-74111174N/A
3/31/2021770-7963137N/A
12/31/2020783-3625113N/A
9/30/2020775196107N/A
6/30/202088378124228N/A
3/31/20201,117213322427N/A
12/31/20191,268302426533N/A
9/30/20191,426655539639N/A
6/30/20191,411663N/A591N/A
3/31/20191,336629N/A492N/A
12/31/20181,378697N/A559N/A
9/30/20181,252420N/A520N/A
6/30/20181,291487N/A534N/A
3/31/20181,332525N/A563N/A
12/31/20171,164455N/A435N/A
9/30/20171,083392N/A355N/A
6/30/2017823239N/A247N/A
3/31/201755259N/A56N/A
12/31/2016369-50N/A-50N/A
9/30/2016273-202N/A-116N/A
12/31/2015545-311N/A-132N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: HCC's forecast earnings growth (89.7% per year) is above the savings rate (3.3%).

Earnings vs Market: HCC's earnings (89.7% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (15.9% per year).

High Growth Earnings: HCC's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: HCC's revenue (20.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (10.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: HCC's revenue (20.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: HCC's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10.3%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/11/16 23:45
End of Day Share Price 2025/11/14 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. is covered by 19 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Nathan MartinBenchmark Company
Mark LevinBenchmark Company
Alexander Robert PearceBMO Capital Markets Equity Research