Delta Air Lines

Delta loses shine after warning of falling travel demand, but still industry leader

PI

Invested

Community Contributor

Published

21 Feb 25

Updated

09 Feb 26

Views

384

n/a

n/a

PittTheYounger's Fair Value

n/a

1Y

37.2%

7D

-1.3%

Loading

1Y

37.2%

7D

-1.3%

You can edit this narrative until Feb 10 2:00 PM. Then, changes will post as Updates.

Author's Valuation

US$63.2111.1% overvalued

PittTheYounger's Fair Value

Shared on 09 Feb 26

Fair value Increased 5.63%

Delta Air Lines posts stellar unit economics but faces headwinds ahead

Delta keeps outperforming other major airlines on what it earns from each seat, but the stock already reflects the good news. If the broader economy cools, airline shares could come under pressure, so the takeaway is to lock in some gains and hold off on adding more for now.

77 views

Shared on 10 Jul 25

Fair value Increased 22%

Delta surprises with a much stronger-than-expected spring quarter, posting solid profits at a time when many airlines usually struggle. Strong cash generation helps it pay down debt, but the outlook still depends on travel demand holding up and avoiding a fresh trade-war shock.

7 views

Shared on 10 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 8.33%

PittTheYounger made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

1 view

Shared on 12 Mar 25

Fair value Decreased 21%

PittTheYounger has decreased revenue growth from 4.0% to 2.0%, decreased future PE multiple from 14.0x to 12.0x and increased discount rate from 10.0% to 11.0%.

1 view

Valuator

Company Info

Notes

PittTheYounger'sFair Value

US$63.21

11.1% overvalued

Future estimation in

Revenue

Profit Margin

Future PE

Growth p.a.

%

Decrease

Increase

Forecast revenue growth rate

3.20%

Historical revenue growth rate

19.06%

Airlines revenue growth rate

0.43%

Risk Level (Discount Rate)

Our default considers factors like the company's size, volatility, profitablity and country of operation.

%

0

Decrease

Increase

Current discount rate

8.79%

Calculation

US$5.62b

Earnings '29

x

10.00x

PE Ratio '29

=

US$56.20b

Market Cap '29

US$56.20b

Market Cap '29

/

650.11m

No. shares '29

=

US$86.45

Share Price '29

US$86.45 Share Price '29

Discounted to 2026 @ 11.00% p.a.

=

US$63.21

Fair Value '26