American Airlines Group

American Airlines Group will achieve 4% revenue growth with a future P/E of 15x

MS

Invested

Community Contributor

Published

26 Mar 25

Updated

29 Dec 25

Views

229

29 Dec

US$14.98

mschoen25's Fair Value

US$75.83

80.2% undervalued

1Y

44.5%

7D

11.0%

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1Y

44.5%

7D

11.0%

You can edit this narrative until Dec 30 4:20 PM. Then, changes will post as Updates.

Author's Valuation

US$75.8380.2% undervalued

mschoen25's Fair Value

Shared on 29 Dec 25

Fair value Increased 136%

The "Big Four" Dominance

1. Fundamental Moat: The "Big Four" Dominance American Airlines is a cornerstone of the US "Big Four" legacy carriers.

116 views

Shared on 14 Aug 25

Fair value Increased 29%

mschoen25 has decreased revenue growth from 10.0% to 5.0%, increased future PE multiple from 11.0x to 15.0x, decreased shares outstanding growth rate from 0.1% to 0.0% and increased timeframe from 3 years to 10 years.

3 views

Shared on 12 May 25

Fair value Increased 111%

mschoen25 has increased revenue growth from 3.0% to 10.0%, increased profit margin from 2.0% to 3.0%, increased future PE multiple from 9.0x to 11.0x and decreased discount rate from 11.0% to 6.0%.

1 view

Shared on 28 Mar 25

Fair value Decreased 36%

mschoen25 has decreased profit margin from 4.0% to 2.0% and decreased discount rate from 13.0% to 11.0%.

0 views

Valuator

Company Info

Notes

mschoen25'sFair Value

US$75.83

80.2% undervalued

Future estimation in

Revenue

Profit Margin

Future PE

Growth p.a.

%

Decrease

Increase

Forecast revenue growth rate

5.26%

Historical revenue growth rate

15.97%

Airlines revenue growth rate

0.39%

Risk Level (Discount Rate)

Our default considers factors like the company's size, volatility, profitablity and country of operation.

%

0

Decrease

Increase

Current discount rate

12.46%

Calculation

US$4.14b

Earnings '30

x

15.00x

PE Ratio '30

=

US$62.07b

Market Cap '30

US$62.07b

Market Cap '30

/

672.78m

No. shares '30

=

US$92.26

Share Price '30

US$92.26 Share Price '30

Discounted to 2025 @ 4.00% p.a.

=

US$75.83

Fair Value '25