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NSSC: Fair Outlook Will Rely On Dividend And Buyback Support

Update shared on 23 Feb 2026

Fair value Increased 1.71%
06 May
US$35.14
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$50.33
30.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
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7D
-2.9%

Analysts have nudged their price target for Napco Security Technologies up by about $1 to $49.67, reflecting updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E.

What's in the News

  • The board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.15 per share, a 7% increase from the previous quarter, payable on April 3, 2026, to shareholders of record on March 12, 2026 (Key Developments).
  • The company reported completion of a share repurchase of 640,259 shares, representing 1.76% of shares outstanding, for $16.15 million under the buyback announced on November 4, 2024. No shares were repurchased between October 1, 2025, and December 31, 2025 (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value: updated from $48.83 to $49.67, representing a slight upward adjustment in the modelled estimate.
  • Discount Rate: revised from 8.39% to 8.37%, reflecting a small reduction in the rate used to discount future cash flows.
  • Revenue Growth: adjusted from 10.77% to 10.14%, indicating a modestly lower growth assumption.
  • Net Profit Margin: updated from 25.72% to 26.24%, showing a slight increase in expected profitability.
  • Future P/E: revised from 31.43x to 32.87x, suggesting a marginally higher valuation multiple applied to future earnings.

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Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.