Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Napco Security Technologies from $50.00 to $52.00, reflecting updated assumptions that include a revised discount rate, adjustments to revenue growth expectations, a higher profit margin forecast, and a slightly higher future P/E multiple.
What's in the News
- Board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.15 per share, a 7% increase from the prior quarter, payable on April 3, 2026 to shareholders of record on March 12, 2026 (Key Developments).
- Update on share repurchase program, with 640,259 shares completed for $16.15 million under the buyback announced on November 4, 2024, representing 1.76% of shares, and no shares repurchased between October 1, 2025 and December 31, 2025 (Key Developments).
- Planned presence at ISC East 2025 at New York City's Jacob Javits Center on November 19 and 20, where the company plans to showcase new products within its unified MVP ecosystem and advances in its StarLink communications line, including TriCarrier Cellular StarLink Intrusion Communicators and upgraded keypad and touchscreen options (Key Developments).
Valuation Changes
- Fair Value: revised from $50.00 to $52.00, representing a modest upward adjustment in the estimate.
- Discount Rate: adjusted slightly from 8.40% to 8.36%, reflecting updated assumptions in the model.
- Revenue Growth: revised from 13.05% to 10.95%, indicating a more conservative growth outlook in the forecasts used.
- Net Profit Margin: moved from 26.29% to 27.57%, pointing to higher expected profitability in the projection set.
- Future P/E: updated from 29.63x to 30.20x, indicating a small increase in the multiple applied to future earnings.
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