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Zscaler faces tense competition from Palo Alto and Crowdstrike

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WallStreetWontonsInvested
Community Contributor

Published

December 14 2023

Updated

July 11 2024

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Catalysts

Products and Services:

Zscaler is revolutionizing cloud security with the industry’s first Security as a Service platform. Their innovative solutions are used by more than 5,000 leading organizations, including 50 of the Fortune 500. Key products and services include:

Industry Tailwinds:

  • Convergence of Networking and Security: As the internet becomes the new corporate network, Zscaler’s vision aligns well with this trend.
  • Zero Trust Approach: The shift toward zero-trust architecture favors Zscaler’s solutions.
  • Digital Transformation: Organizations increasingly rely on cloud-based services, driving demand for Zscaler’s cloud security platform.
  • Growing Cybersecurity Concerns: Rising threats boost demand for robust security solutions, especially with using AI.
  • Market Leadership: Zscaler’s strong position and high enterprise penetration contribute to its growth.

Risks

  • Execution Challenges: Successfully capitalizing on tailwinds requires effective execution. Any missteps could impact growth.
  • Economic Conditions: Economic downturns may affect IT spending and demand for security solutions.
  • Technology Shifts: Rapid technological changes could render Zscaler’s offerings obsolete.
  • Regulatory Environment: Changes in data privacy or cybersecurity regulations may impact Zscaler’s operations.
  • Regulatory Compliance: Zscaler operates globally, so compliance with various data protection laws is crucial.
  • Competitors: Established players like Palo Alto Networks, Cisco, and others pose a competitive threat.
  • M&A Activity: Industry consolidation or acquisitions could alter the competitive landscape.
  • Geopolitical Factors: Trade tensions or geopolitical events may impact Zscaler’s business.

Valuation

Business Outlook:

  • 3 Years: Zscaler’s focus on cloud security aligns with the ongoing shift to remote work and cloud adoption. It may continue to expand its customer base and enhance its product offerings.
  • 5 Years: Assuming sustained growth, Zscaler could solidify its position as a leading cloud security provider. Market demand for zero-trust solutions may drive further expansion.
  • 10 Years: In a decade, Zscaler might be deeply integrated into the fabric of secure internet access. However, technological disruptions and competitive pressures could alter this trajectory.

Revenue and Profit Margins:

  • Revenue growth will depend on market adoption, acquisitions, and product innovation.
  • Profit margins may improve as economies of scale kick in, but investments in R&D and sales could offset some gains.

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Disclaimer

The user WallStreetWontons has a position in NasdaqGS:ZS. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

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Fair Value
US$172.7
22.2% overvalued intrinsic discount
WallStreetWontons's Fair Value
Future estimation in
PastFuture01b2b3b4b20152017201920212023202520272028Revenue US$4.1bEarnings US$621.2m
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Current revenue growth rate
16.18%
Software revenue growth rate
0.73%
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