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JOYY: Improved Advertising Outlook Will Drive Q4 Momentum Amid Persistent Execution Risks

Update shared on 27 Nov 2025

Fair value Increased 12%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
62.5%
7D
2.2%

Analysts have raised their price target for JOYY from $62.56 to $69.82, citing improved advertising momentum and stronger revenue growth forecasts following recent quarterly results.

Analyst Commentary

Following JOYY's recent quarterly results, analysts have updated their outlook and price targets, reflecting both optimism and ongoing caution regarding the company's business trajectory.

Bullish Takeaways
  • Bullish analysts have increased their price targets, with several citing strong advertising momentum and expectations for accelerated revenue growth in the coming quarters.
  • Recent valuation updates reflect a brighter outlook for JOYY's core business. The advertising segment is seen as a primary driver of improving fundamentals.
  • Q3 results are viewed as a solid beat. This reinforces perspectives that JOYY is well-positioned to deliver robust growth in the near term, especially in digital advertising.
  • Some analysts see the business as undervalued at current share levels and note that live streaming performance has stabilized, setting the stage for new growth catalysts.
Bearish Takeaways
  • Despite lifting price targets, some analysts are keeping neutral or equal-weight ratings and highlight ongoing concerns over execution and the sustainability of advertising gains.
  • Caution remains about the company’s ability to maintain accelerated growth rates beyond Q4, especially if macroeconomic conditions change.
  • While advertising is rebounding, uncertainties persist regarding the long-term resilience of JOYY’s core revenue streams outside of this segment.

What's in the News

  • JOYY Inc. declared a dividend of USD 0.97 per ADS, to be paid on January 13, 2026 to shareholders of record as of January 2, 2026. (Key Developments)
  • The company issued revenue guidance for Q4 2025, expecting net revenues between USD 563 million and USD 578 million. This forecast is subject to market and macroeconomic factors. (Key Developments)
  • From July 1, 2025 to November 19, 2025, JOYY repurchased 870,000 shares for $52.1 million, completing a total buyback of 1,700,000 shares for $88.6 million announced in March 2025. (Key Developments)

Valuation Changes

  • The consensus analyst price target has risen from $62.56 to $69.82, reflecting a moderately stronger outlook.
  • The discount rate has decreased slightly from 7.82 percent to 7.82 percent, suggesting slightly lower perceived risk in valuation models.
  • Revenue growth expectations have increased from 4.18 percent to 4.84 percent, indicating higher anticipated sales momentum.
  • The net profit margin projection has edged up from 11.54 percent to 11.94 percent, pointing to improved profitability forecasts.
  • The future P/E ratio has climbed from 12.53x to 14.59x, signaling higher anticipated earnings multiples based on revised earnings expectations.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.