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Innovation Powerhouse and the Most Undervalued of the Magnificent 7

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InvestingwillyInvested
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Published

January 20 2025

Updated

January 23 2025

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Alphabet Inc., the parent company of Google, stands as a cornerstone of the tech world, leading in search, digital advertising, AI, and cloud computing. Despite its dominance and innovation, Alphabet is currently the cheapest stock among the “Magnificent 7” (the seven largest U.S. tech companies by market capitalization). This relative undervaluation, combined with its robust fundamentals and forward-thinking strategy, makes Alphabet a highly attractive opportunity for long-term investors.

Core Business: Search and Advertising Leadership

Google’s dominance in the search engine market is unrivaled, holding over 90% of the global market share. This hegemony powers Alphabet’s advertising segment, which remains the company’s main revenue driver. In Q3 2024, Alphabet reported $76.4 billion in revenue, with advertising contributing approximately 78% of total income.

The Google Ads platform, driven by unparalleled data analytics and AI capabilities, delivers highly targeted campaigns for businesses, making it indispensable to advertisers. YouTube, another jewel in Alphabet’s crown, adds significant value to the advertising portfolio. With billions of monthly users, YouTube continues to expand monetization through Shorts, Premium subscriptions, and targeted video ads.

AI Leadership: Defining the Future

Alphabet’s AI expertise cements its position as a leader in the tech sector. Google AI powers products like Search, Google Assistant, and YouTube recommendations, while the company’s DeepMind division pushes the boundaries of artificial intelligence research.

In 2023, Alphabet launched Bard, its generative AI chatbot, to compete with OpenAI’s ChatGPT. While early reception was mixed, the company has rapidly enhanced Bard and integrated generative AI features across its ecosystem, including Google Workspace tools like Docs and Sheets. AI innovations are expected to further optimize Alphabet’s products, enhancing user experience and unlocking new revenue streams.

Cloud Computing: A Growth Catalyst

Google Cloud is Alphabet’s fastest-growing segment, posting a 22% year-over-year revenue increase in Q3 2024 to reach $10.5 billion. Competing with Amazon Web Services (AWS) and Microsoft Azure, Google Cloud is carving out its niche with a focus on AI-driven solutions, sustainability, and vertical-specific offerings.

Alphabet’s AI-first approach is a significant differentiator, with platforms like Vertex AI enabling businesses to build and deploy machine learning models. Ongoing investments in infrastructure, partnerships, and innovation are solidifying Google Cloud’s role as a critical growth driver for the company.

Financial Strength and Shareholder Focus

Alphabet’s financials are among the strongest in the tech sector. As of Q3 2024, the company holds over $120 billion in cash and marketable securities, providing it with substantial flexibility to invest in innovation, acquisitions, and shareholder returns.

Notably, Alphabet stands out among the Magnificent 7 as the most undervalued on a price-to-earnings (P/E) basis. Despite its consistent revenue and earnings growth, Alphabet trades at a discount compared to peers like Microsoft, Apple, and Amazon.

The company’s substantial share buyback program underscores management’s confidence in its long-term prospects. In 2024, Alphabet repurchased approximately $17.6 billion worth of shares, enhancing shareholder value while reducing outstanding shares.

Why Alphabet is Undervalued

Alphabet’s status as the cheapest of the Magnificent 7 can be attributed to a combination of factors:

1. Regulatory Risks: Ongoing antitrust scrutiny in the U.S. and Europe has weighed on investor sentiment. However, Alphabet has successfully navigated regulatory challenges in the past and remains well-equipped to adapt.

2. Macroeconomic Concerns: Higher interest rates and reduced consumer spending have dampened advertising growth expectations, creating short-term headwinds.

3. Perceived Overreliance on Advertising: While advertising is a major revenue driver, Alphabet’s diversification into cloud computing, AI, and hardware remains underappreciated by the market.

These factors, while real, are largely overstated. Alphabet’s ability to innovate, diversify, and capitalize on long-term trends ensures its growth potential remains intact.

Key Growth Opportunities

Alphabet is poised to capitalize on several transformative trends:

Generative AI Integration: Expanding AI capabilities across products will drive user engagement and revenue.

Global Cloud Expansion: Google Cloud’s AI-driven approach positions it as a key player in the growing cloud computing market.

YouTube Monetization: Increased ad revenue, Shorts growth, and premium subscriptions will enhance YouTube’s contribution.

Hardware Ecosystem: Products like Pixel smartphones, Google Nest, and Fitbit expand Alphabet’s reach and diversify its income.

Additionally, Alphabet’s “Other Bets,” such as Waymo (autonomous vehicles) and Verily (healthcare solutions), represent high-risk, high-reward investments that could deliver substantial returns in the long term.

Conclusion

Alphabet Inc. combines market dominance, innovation, and financial strength, making it one of the most compelling investment opportunities in the tech sector. As the cheapest stock among the Magnificent 7, it offers a unique blend of value and growth potential.

With leading positions in search, advertising, AI, and cloud computing, Alphabet is well-positioned to navigate short-term headwinds while delivering long-term shareholder value. For investors seeking a high-quality, undervalued tech stock, Alphabet is an excellent choice.

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Disclaimer

The user Investingwilly has a position in NasdaqGS:GOOGL. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

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