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CMC: Share Buyback Momentum And Legal Risks Will Shape Future Performance

Update shared on 30 Nov 2025

Fair value Increased 1.50%
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Analysts have raised the price target for Commercial Metals by $1.00 to $67.85, reflecting modest improvements in expected revenue growth despite a slight contraction in profit margin forecasts.

What's in the News

  • From June 1, 2025 to August 31, 2025, Commercial Metals completed the repurchase of 974,462 shares for $49.97 million, bringing the total shares repurchased under its 2021 buyback program to 14,218,865 shares for $645.01 million (Buyback Tranche Update).
  • On September 29, 2025, Commercial Metals received an adverse ruling in post-trial motions for the Pacific Steel Group v. Commercial Metals litigation. The court upheld a previous jury verdict, and the company plans to appeal (Lawsuits & Legal Issues).

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target has increased slightly from $66.85 to $67.85.
  • Discount Rate has edged up from 8.54% to 8.56%.
  • Revenue Growth expectations have improved from 5.70% to 6.16%.
  • Net Profit Margin forecast has decreased from 6.05% to 5.81%.
  • Future P/E ratio estimate has risen from 15.82x to 16.50x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.