Loading...
Back to narrative

BEN: Q4 Earnings Stability And Market Trends Will Balance Q1 Outlook

Update shared on 26 Nov 2025

n/a
n/a
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
n/a
Loading
1Y
-0.2%
7D
2.3%

Analysts have recently adjusted Franklin Resources' average price target modestly, reflecting both cautious optimism following Q4 earnings support from performance fees as well as rising EPS estimates tied to positive equity and bond market trends.

Analyst Commentary

Recent research notes reveal a mix of cautious optimism and lingering concerns regarding Franklin Resources as analysts digest the company's latest quarterly results and update market forecasts.

Bullish Takeaways
  • Bullish analysts point to positive performance fees in the latest quarter as a supportive factor for near-term earnings stability.
  • Higher global equity and bond market returns have prompted upward revisions in future EPS estimates, suggesting the company may benefit from improving market conditions.
  • Broad-based gains across equity benchmarks and solid bond market returns are viewed as catalysts for better growth prospects among traditional asset managers, including Franklin Resources.
Bearish Takeaways
  • Bearish analysts see near-term upside as limited, even with positive earnings drivers, and cite an overall Neutral or Underperform view on the stock.
  • Modest adjustments to price targets reflect tempered expectations for significant outperformance, given competitive pressures and ongoing industry headwinds.
  • Recent foreign exchange movements and persistent market volatility continue to be watchpoints that could hinder sustained execution and valuation improvement for Franklin Resources.

What's in the News

  • Franklin Resources launched the Franklin XRP ETF, providing investors access to XRP's price movements and expanding its U.S. digital asset ETP lineup. The ETF is now listed on NYSE Arca. (Product-Related Announcements)
  • The Canton Network integrated the Benji Technology Platform, enabling global institutional clients of Franklin Templeton to seamlessly access regulated, tokenized investment products on the Canton Blockchain. (Client Announcements)
  • Franklin Resources completed a share repurchase tranche, buying back over 2.6 million shares for $67.09 million. This brings total shares repurchased since 2013 to over 197 million. (Buyback Tranche Update)
  • Franklin Templeton Canada announced new, lower pricing for its suite of Core Equity Funds starting January 1, 2026. The firm is also introducing Series A to improve accessibility. (Product-Related Announcements)
  • The firm unveiled new actively managed international equity ETFs, including the Putnam International Stock ETF and Templeton International Insights ETF. These funds offer distinct global investment strategies. (Product-Related Announcements)

Valuation Changes

  • The discount rate has fallen modestly from 9.01 percent to 8.80 percent, indicating slightly improved perceived risk.
  • Revenue growth projections remain essentially unchanged at approximately 0.57 percent.
  • Net profit margin has held steady at around 16.38 percent, with no material variation.
  • The future P/E ratio has decreased slightly from 11.25x to 11.05x, reflecting modestly lower forward valuation expectations.
  • The fair value estimate remains unchanged at $24.73 per share.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.