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COST: Market Share Gains Will Continue Driven By High Member Renewal Rates

Published
17 Jul 24
Updated
02 Nov 25
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
0.1%
7D
0.2%

Author's Valuation

US$1.06k12.7% undervalued intrinsic discount

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on 02 Nov 25

Fair value Decreased 0.16%

Costco Wholesale's analyst price target has been reduced modestly, with the average fair value estimate moving down by about $1.65 to $1,059.55. Analysts cite a combination of slightly slower margin growth and a continued premium valuation backdrop as reasons for the adjustment.

Shared on 03 Oct 25

Fair value Decreased 1.07%

Costco’s analyst price target has been revised downward to $1,061 from $1,072. Analysts cite mixed quarterly results, persistent strength in sales and margin improvements, but continued caution given the stock’s elevated valuation multiples.

Shared on 04 Sep 25

Despite continued strong comparable sales growth and solid execution, analysts cite concerns about Costco’s elevated valuation and limited upside at current prices, resulting in an unchanged consensus price target of $1073. Analyst Commentary Solid U.S. comparable sales growth at 5.5% in June, maintaining strength in Food, Sundries, and Fresh Foods, with mid-single-digit gains in nonfood categories.

Shared on 07 May 25

Fair value Increased 2.13%

Shared on 30 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 0.21%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 23 Apr 25

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 16 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 0.45%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 09 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 0.38%

Shared on 02 Apr 25

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 26 Mar 25

Fair value Decreased 0.60%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 19 Mar 25

Fair value Increased 0.57%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 10 Mar 25

Fair value Increased 0.51%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.