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NSP: Future Earnings Will Strengthen Despite Near-Term Loss Guidance

Update shared on 03 Dec 2025

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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
-57.6%
7D
-0.7%

Narrative Update on Insperity

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Insperity, citing incremental improvements in discount rate assumptions and a slightly lower future P/E multiple. Together, these factors support a refined fair value estimate of approximately 45.00 dollars per share.

What's in the News

  • Insperity updated its share repurchase disclosure, noting that it repurchased 0 shares between July 1 and September 30, 2025, while cumulatively completing the buyback of 40,292,236 shares for approximately 1.10 billion dollars under its long standing program initiated in 1999 (company filing).
  • The company issued new earnings guidance for the fourth quarter of 2025, projecting a net loss between 40 million and 16 million dollars and diluted loss per share between 1.07 and 0.44 dollars (company guidance).
  • For full year 2025, Insperity now expects results ranging from a net loss of 15 million dollars to net income of 9 million dollars, with diluted results spanning a loss per share of 0.38 dollars to earnings per share of 0.25 dollars (company guidance).

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value Estimate reiterated at approximately 45.00 dollars per share, reflecting no material change versus the prior narrative assumption.
  • Discount Rate fallen slightly from about 7.80 percent to approximately 7.76 percent, modestly increasing the present value of projected cash flows.
  • Revenue Growth effectively unchanged at roughly 6.95 percent, indicating no revision to top line expansion assumptions.
  • Net Profit Margin essentially flat at about 1.70 percent, signaling stable expectations for underlying profitability.
  • Future P/E edged down slightly from roughly 15.67 times to about 15.65 times, modestly tempering the valuation multiple applied to future earnings.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.