Update shared on 05 Nov 2025
Narrative Update on Analyst Price Target for Graham
Analysts have lowered their price target for Graham by $12.50 to $52.00, citing a significant rally in the shares and expectations for a potential period of consolidation following recent gains.
Analyst Commentary
Recent analyst updates reflect a mix of optimism regarding Graham's strong performance, alongside caution given the stock's rapid appreciation over the past year.
Bullish Takeaways- Bullish analysts acknowledge Graham’s impressive share price increase, with gains of 40% year-to-date and over 97% in the past twelve months. This signals strong market confidence and effective execution.
- The company’s recent momentum suggests robust operational performance and success in capitalizing on growth opportunities.
- Current valuation still accommodates upside potential if Graham delivers on future earnings and maintains its growth trajectory.
- Bearish analysts point to the sharp rally in shares as a sign that valuations may now reflect much of the positive news. This raises the risk of limited near-term upside.
- There is an expectation of a period of consolidation as the market digests recent significant gains, which could lead to price stagnation or volatility.
- Some caution that heightened expectations increase execution risk, making it harder for the company to continue surprising on the upside.
Valuation Changes
- Fair Value Estimate remains unchanged at $64.50, indicating no shift in the intrinsic valuation of Graham.
- Discount Rate has increased slightly from 8.05% to 8.13%, reflecting a modest change in perceived risk or market conditions.
- Revenue Growth Projection is virtually unchanged, moving from 9.36% to 9.36%.
- Net Profit Margin is stable, rising marginally from 8.51% to 8.51%.
- Future P/E Ratio has increased slightly from 37.34x to 37.42x, indicating a minor change in forward valuation expectations by analysts.
Disclaimer
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