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CRS: Share Repurchases Will Drive Future Upside Potential

Update shared on 04 Dec 2025

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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
58.7%
7D
-3.6%

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Carpenter Technology to approximately $382 per share, reflecting slightly higher assumed discount rates and long term profitability expectations.

What's in the News

  • Completed a share repurchase tranche, buying 200,000 shares for $49.12 million in the quarter, and totaling 775,000 shares for $150.99 million under the July 2024 authorization (company filing)
  • Issued new guidance for fiscal 2026, projecting operating income of $660 million to $700 million, implying a 26% to 33% increase over fiscal 2025 with upside potential from higher volume, pricing, and productivity (company guidance)
  • Set a fiscal 2027 operating income target of $765 million to $800 million, citing opportunities to exceed that range as strategic initiatives scale (company guidance)
  • Added to the S&P Aerospace and Defense Select Industry Index, which may broaden the shareholder base via index-linked funds (index announcement)

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value Estimate remains unchanged at approximately $382.37 per share, reflecting stable long term cash flow assumptions.
  • The Discount Rate has risen slightly from about 7.55 percent to roughly 7.79 percent, modestly increasing the required return on equity.
  • Revenue Growth is effectively unchanged at around 7.79 percent, indicating a consistent outlook for top line expansion.
  • The Net Profit Margin is essentially unchanged at roughly 19.74 percent, signaling a stable long term profitability profile.
  • The Future P/E has risen marginally from about 32.60x to approximately 32.81x, implying a slightly higher valuation multiple on forward earnings.

Disclaimer

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