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Endless Promises, Underwhelming Outcomes

Published
23 Apr 25
Views
167
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FEC's Fair Value
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1Y
54.1%
7D
-1.4%

Author's Valuation

US$211.2382.9% overvalued intrinsic discount

FEC's Fair Value

Tesla under Elon Musk kind of feels like a Ponzi scheme, it never delivers on the original promises and just keeps hyping up even bigger ones for the future. it is a hype machine: Tesla’s Future Is Always Just Around the Corner! There are about 20 different projects he's hyping right now, and instead of finishing anything, he just keeps stacking on more. Sales are down? No worries, we’ll sell a million Optimus robots by 2030. Earnings are down? That’s fine, robotaxis were coming in 2016… or was it 2017… or maybe some other year oh wait "you'll be able to use your car as taxi why you sleep (2017)". Cybertrucks banned in most civilized countries? Doesn’t matter — we’ll power the whole world with Tesla batteries by 2040. For what it’s worth, I actually have a Model 3 Highland and I love the car itself, but FSD doesn’t work at all — it’s honestly dangerous with stuff like ghost braking. So yeah, Tesla’s just an okay car company, and it really should have a P/E ratio around 12 to 15, nothing more.

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Disclaimer

The user FEC holds no position in NasdaqGS:TSLA. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

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