Loading...
Back to narrative

U96: Alinta Energy Acquisition Will Drive Future Returns Despite Minor Assumption Trim

Update shared on 08 Dec 2025

Fair value Decreased 0.38%
n/a
n/a
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
n/a
Loading
1Y
6.5%
7D
-1.2%

Analysts have trimmed their price target for Sembcorp Industries slightly, reflecting a modest recalibration of fair value to approximately S$7.43 from about S$7.46. This follows their incorporation of slightly softer long term revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, partially offset by a marginally higher projected future P/E multiple.

What's in the News

  • Sembcorp is exploring an IPO in Mumbai for its Indian renewables arm, Sembcorp Green Infra Limited, targeting a launch in about eight to nine months, with Citi, HSBC and Axis Capital mandated as advisers (Reuters).
  • Sembcorp Green Infra recently secured a 150 MW firm and dispatchable renewable energy project from Indian state utility SJVN Ltd, strengthening its India growth pipeline.
  • The group is expanding its Indian portfolio through an agreement to acquire a unit of ReNew, adding 300 MW of solar capacity to Sembcorp Green Infra.
  • Sembcorp is in advanced talks to acquire Australian retailer Alinta Energy, a move that could accelerate its transition strategy while adding significant generation and retail scale in Australia (DataRoom).
  • The potential Alinta deal has effectively sidelined an earlier idea to combine Alinta with EnergyAustralia, as regulators are seen as unlikely to approve a merger of two large, Chinese owned utilities in a sensitive market (DataRoom).

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value: Trimmed slightly from SGD 7.46 to about SGD 7.43 per share, implying a modestly lower assessed intrinsic value.
  • Discount Rate: Unchanged at approximately 5.84 percent, indicating no revision to the risk or cost of capital assumptions.
  • Revenue Growth: Reduced slightly from around 4.57 percent to about 4.38 percent, reflecting a more conservative long term growth outlook.
  • Net Profit Margin: Eased marginally from roughly 17.37 percent to about 17.24 percent, pointing to a small downward adjustment in profitability expectations.
  • Future P/E: Raised slightly from about 12.86x to roughly 12.98x, suggesting a modestly higher valuation multiple applied to forward earnings.

Have other thoughts on Sembcorp Industries?

Create your own narrative on this stock, and estimate its Fair Value using our Valuator tool.

Create Narrative

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.