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C6L: Passenger And Cargo Volumes Will Support Measured Earnings Performance

Update shared on 26 Nov 2025

Fair value Decreased 2.32%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
-0.3%
7D
-2.5%

Analysts have lowered their price target for Singapore Airlines to $6.17 from $6.32, citing updated expectations for profit margins and earnings.

What's in the News

  • Singapore Airlines reported carrying 10,503,000 passengers in the second quarter of 2025, an increase from 9,630,000 a year earlier (Announcement of Operating Results).
  • Passenger load factor rose to 87.9% in the second quarter of 2025, up from 85.8% the previous year (Announcement of Operating Results).
  • The company declared an interim dividend of 5 cents per share and a special dividend of 3 cents per share for the half-year ended 30 September 2025. Both dividends are payable on 23 December 2025 (Dividend Decreases, Special Dividend Announced).
  • Cargo and mail carried in the second quarter grew to 289.0 million kg from 279.6 million kg a year ago. However, the cargo load factor slightly decreased (Announcement of Operating Results).
  • Monthly passenger numbers have consistently increased throughout August, September, and October 2025 compared to the previous year (Announcement of Operating Results).

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target: Lowered from SGD 6.32 to SGD 6.17, reflecting updated profit outlook.
  • Discount Rate: Decreased slightly from 8.65% to 8.58%.
  • Revenue Growth: Projected to increase moderately from 1.64% to 1.73%.
  • Net Profit Margin: Lowered from 5.55% to 5.15%.
  • Future P/E: Increased from 21.15x to 26.81x, indicating higher expectations for future earnings multiples.

Disclaimer

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