Update shared on 08 Dec 2025
Fair value Decreased 0.89%Analysts have modestly trimmed their price target on Camurus, lowering it by approximately SEK 7 to reflect slightly softer long term revenue growth and margin assumptions, partly offset by a higher expected future earnings multiple.
What's in the News
- Positive topline Phase 1b data for monthly GLP 1 candidate CAM2056 showed dose dependent reductions in body weight, A1c, and fasting glucose that were comparable to or exceeded weekly semaglutide, with a favorable extended release profile suitable for monthly dosing (Key Developments)
- In the Phase 1b trial, CAM2056 10 mg achieved a mean weight loss of 9.3 percent at Day 85 versus 5.2 percent for weekly semaglutide, with statistically significant treatment difference, and similar weight reduction after 3 months as weekly semaglutide after 5 months (Key Developments)
- Camurus lowered its 2025 revenue guidance to SEK 2.3 billion to SEK 2.6 billion from SEK 2.7 billion to SEK 3.0 billion, while maintaining profit before tax guidance at SEK 0.9 billion to SEK 1.2 billion (Key Developments)
- Camurus launched Oczyesa, an octreotide subcutaneous depot for maintenance treatment of adults with acromegaly previously stabilized on somatostatin analogs, in Germany as the first EU market (Key Developments)
Valuation Changes
- Fair Value: Trimmed slightly from SEK 800.86 to SEK 793.71, reflecting a modest downward revision in intrinsic value estimates.
- Discount Rate: Held essentially unchanged at around 5.07 percent, indicating no material shift in perceived risk profile.
- Revenue Growth: Reduced from 35.14 percent to 32.84 percent, signaling moderately lower long term topline growth expectations.
- Net Profit Margin: Lowered significantly from 63.28 percent to 40.68 percent, implying more conservative assumptions on long term profitability.
- Future P/E: Raised meaningfully from 15.67x to 25.43x, suggesting a higher expected valuation multiple on future earnings despite softer fundamentals.
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