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Update shared on 08 Oct 2025

Fair value Increased 1.29%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
56.6%
7D
-3.7%

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Avanza Bank Holding from SEK 345.67 to SEK 350.11. This change reflects improved confidence in the company's valuation and growth prospects based on recent research updates.

Analyst Commentary

Bullish Takeaways

  • Bullish analysts have increased their target price, indicating that Avanza Bank's recent growth has made its valuation appear more justified.
  • Improved confidence in the company's ability to sustain growth has contributed to upward adjustments in fair value estimates.
  • The company’s financial performance and operational execution are seen as strong. This has supported a shift from a more negative to a neutral outlook among some market observers.
  • Stepped-up rating upgrades suggest that Avanza Bank has effectively navigated previous concerns, earning increased credibility in its business strategy.

Bearish Takeaways

  • Bearish analysts have shifted their stance to a more cautious view, with some lowering their rating despite maintaining relatively high price targets.
  • There is a sense that the company's recent growth may already be fully reflected in the current valuation. This could limit near-term upside.
  • Uncertainty remains about Avanza Bank's ability to deliver further growth beyond current expectations, prompting some analysts to adopt a wait-and-see approach.
  • More conservative outlooks point to potential risks in maintaining recent momentum. These outlooks emphasize the need for Avanza Bank to continue strong execution to justify further upgrades.

Valuation Changes

  • The Fair Value Estimate has risen slightly, increasing from SEK 345.67 to SEK 350.11.
  • The Discount Rate has increased, moving from 6.02% to 6.12%.
  • The Revenue Growth projection has edged up, from 4.82% to 4.93%.
  • The Net Profit Margin has decreased minimally, from 57.39% to 57.33%.
  • The Future P/E Ratio has risen slightly, changing from 21.02x to 21.31x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.