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AnalystConsensusTarget updated the narrative for AXFO

Update shared on 26 Oct 2025

Fair value Decreased 2.19%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
32.5%
7D
1.6%

Analysts have lowered their fair value estimate for Axfood from SEK 285.00 to SEK 278.75. This adjustment reflects updated assumptions about discount rates, revenue growth, and profit margins.

What's in the News

  • Axfood plans to build a new highly automated logistics centre in Frillesas, Kungsbacka Municipality. The project is expected to be completed by 2030 (Key Developments).
  • The German company Witron will supply the automation system for the facility, continuing its partnership with Axfood from previous logistics centre projects (Key Developments).
  • The centre will cover approximately 90,000 square meters, will be environmentally certified, and is expected to increase capacity in southern Sweden by at least 20% (Key Developments).
  • Total investment is estimated at EUR 260-280 million over the period from 2025 to 2030, financed via cash flow and credit facilities (Key Developments).
  • Once fully operational, the cost level for logistics is projected to stay the same initially and decrease gradually over time (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes

  • The Fair Value Estimate has decreased slightly from SEK 285.00 to SEK 278.75.
  • The Discount Rate has risen marginally from 5.23% to 5.33%.
  • The Revenue Growth Assumption has fallen slightly from 4.26% to 4.18%.
  • The Net Profit Margin has increased from 3.53% to 3.59%.
  • The Future P/E Ratio has declined from 20.66x to 19.66x.

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Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.