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SECU B: Future Profitability Will Likely Fail To Justify Current Share Price

Falling Manned Guarding Revenue Will Press Margins Though Tech Helps

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SECU B
AnalystLowTarget
Not Invested
Published 23 Jun 2025

Update shared on 12 Dec 2025

Fair value Increased 3.64%
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AnalystLowTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
6.2%
7D
2.4%

Analysts have raised their price target for Securitas from approximately $110 to $114, citing expectations of slightly higher long term profitability and a more attractive future valuation multiple, despite more cautious revenue growth assumptions.

What's in the News

  • Securitas scheduled an Analyst and Investor Day to provide a strategic and financial update, signaling management’s intent to clarify long term priorities and capital allocation plans (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value Estimate increased slightly from SEK 110 to SEK 114, reflecting a modestly higher long term profitability outlook.
  • Discount Rate edged up marginally from 5.82 percent to 5.84 percent, indicating a slightly higher implied risk or required return.
  • Revenue Growth was downgraded notably from approximately minus 0.47 percent to minus 0.91 percent, signaling more cautious expectations for top line expansion.
  • Net Profit Margin was raised meaningfully from about 4.77 percent to 5.59 percent, suggesting better anticipated operational efficiency and profitability.
  • Future P/E was reduced moderately from 9.89 times to 8.97 times, implying a lower valuation multiple applied to expected earnings despite the higher fair value.

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