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BTS B: Rising Discount Rate Will Lead to Compelling Upside Potential

Update shared on 28 Nov 2025

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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
-50.0%
7D
1.8%

Analysts have revised the price target for BTS Group, leaving it unchanged at $172.50. Updates to their assumptions, such as a slightly higher discount rate and slower projected revenue growth, offset one another and resulted in no net change to their estimate.

What's in the News

  • BTS Group revised its earnings guidance for the fiscal year 2025/26 and lowered full year revenue expectations from THB 6 billion to THB 5.5 billion. This change reflects softer macroeconomic conditions and more conservative assumptions for advertising and retail spending (Key Developments).
  • The company provided new earnings guidance for the full year 2025, stating group earnings are expected to be significantly worse than the previous year. This is a departure from the outlook provided in the previous interim report (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target remains unchanged at $172.50 per share.
  • The discount rate has risen slightly from 5.55 percent to 5.59 percent.
  • The revenue growth forecast has fallen significantly from 5.00 percent to 3.43 percent.
  • The net profit margin has decreased marginally from 8.56 percent to 8.55 percent.
  • The future P/E has increased from 13.94x to 14.61x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.