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EMI: Future P E Compression Will Likely Drive Share Price Down

Digitalization And Urbanization Will Expand Global Premium Spirits

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EMI
AnalystHighTarget
Not Invested
Published 28 Jun 2025

Update shared on 12 Dec 2025

Fair value Decreased 37%
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AnalystHighTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
-15.6%
7D
-0.1%

Analysts have lowered their price target on Emperador from 16.30 to 10.20, citing higher required returns, a sharply reduced future P E multiple, and only partially offsetting upgrades to long-term revenue growth and profit margin assumptions.

What's in the News

  • Emperador received Securities and Exchange Commission approval for its amended by laws, formalizing recent corporate governance changes (regulatory filing).
  • The company reset its annual stockholders meeting to the last Wednesday of June each year to align preparation timelines with regulatory requirements (regulatory filing).
  • An Executive Committee was created to handle day to day operational matters so the Board of Directors can focus on more strategic issues (regulatory filing).
  • A new honorary position of Chairman Emeritus was established for long serving former board chairs who will act as principal advisors to the Board and management (regulatory filing).

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value: cut significantly from ₱16.30 to ₱10.20 per share, implying a markedly lower intrinsic valuation.
  • Discount Rate: risen slightly from 10.97 percent to 11.39 percent, reflecting a higher required return from investors.
  • Revenue Growth: raised meaningfully from about 4.62 percent to 6.97 percent, indicating a more optimistic long term sales outlook.
  • Net Profit Margin: increased from roughly 10.89 percent to 12.65 percent, pointing to stronger expected profitability.
  • Future P E: reduced sharply from 45.54x to 24.01x, signaling a much lower valuation multiple applied to future earnings.

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Disclaimer

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