Update shared on 04 Dec 2025
Fair value Increased 2.34%Analysts have lifted their price target on Napier Port Holdings modestly from $3.64 to $3.72, reflecting slightly higher fair value assessments even as they temper assumptions for long term revenue growth, profit margins, and future earnings multiples.
What's in the News
- Napier Port Holdings declared a fully imputed final 2025 dividend of $16 million, or $0.08 per share, payable on 16 December to shareholders on the register as at 3 December (company announcement).
- Total dividends for the 2025 financial year will rise to $29 million, or $0.145 per share, up from $0.09 per share in 2024 (company announcement).
- For the fourth quarter to 30 September 2025, total container volumes fell 3.3% to 57,000 TEU, while bulk cargo volumes rose 11.9% to 0.9 million tonnes (company operating results).
- Across the full 2025 financial year, total container volumes increased 9.1% to 250,000 TEU, with full container volumes up 7.3% and empty and other movements up 11.2% (company operating results).
Valuation Changes
- The fair value estimate has risen slightly from NZ$3.64 to NZ$3.72 per share, implying a modest uplift in assessed intrinsic value.
- The discount rate has increased marginally from 7.25% to approximately 7.32%, reflecting a slightly higher required return on equity.
- Revenue growth has edged down from about 7.00% to 6.74%, indicating more conservative long-term top-line assumptions.
- The net profit margin has fallen slightly from roughly 23.41% to 22.66%, pointing to a modestly lower profitability outlook.
- The future P/E has decreased meaningfully from about 23.6x to 20.3x, suggesting a reduced valuation multiple applied to forecast earnings.
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