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VGL: Fair Future Outlook Will Balance Margin Gains And Higher Required Return

Digital Streaming And High Costs Will Threaten Cinema Future

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VGL
AnalystLowTarget
Not Invested
Published 07 Sep 2025

Update shared on 15 Dec 2025

Fair value Decreased 13%
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AnalystLowTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
-16.0%
7D
-1.9%

Analysts have lowered their 12 month price target for Vista Group International by roughly 12 percent to reflect slightly softer revenue growth expectations and a higher required return, partially offset by a modestly improved profit margin outlook and a lower projected future price to earnings multiple.

Valuation Changes

  • The Fair Value Estimate has been reduced from 3.2 to 2.8, indicating a moderate downward revision to intrinsic value.
  • The Discount Rate has risen slightly from 8.43 percent to 8.53 percent, reflecting a marginally higher required return from investors.
  • The Revenue Growth Forecast has been trimmed from about 11.8 percent to 11.0 percent annually, suggesting somewhat more conservative top line expectations.
  • The Net Profit Margin Outlook has improved from roughly 5.7 percent to 6.4 percent, pointing to better anticipated operating efficiency.
  • The Future P/E Multiple has fallen significantly from about 79.3x to 62.8x, implying a lower valuation applied to expected future earnings.

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